M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)

4.1 7647 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 27.71
+30.02%
Last month
$ 82.51
+220%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 88.31
-20.93%
In a quarter
$ 68.56
-38.61%
In half a year
$ 86.49
-22.56%
In a year
$ 185
+65.65%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
89% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
301 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Bullet Rain inspecting M4A4 | Bullet Rain reloading M4A4 | Bullet Rain holding M4A4 | Bullet Rain pose-1 M4A4 | Bullet Rain pose-2 M4A4 | Bullet Rain pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 120
  • 24h price change: 11.11%
  • 7 days low: $ 92.29
  • 7 days high: $ 750
  • 7 days price change: 30.02%
  • 30 days low: $ 37.49
  • 30 days high: $ 922
  • 30 days price change: 220%
  • 90 days low: $ 37.49
  • 90 days high: $ 922
  • Year low: $ 13.69
  • Year high: $ 5 440
  • All time low: $ 11.75
  • All time high: $ 5 440
  • All time max offers: 712
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 25
  • Sales for last 7 days: 158
  • Sales for last 30 days: 777
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1318
  • All time sales: 3355
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3622
  • Volatility: 20.41%
  • Liquidity: 7.36%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 88.31
  • Price forecast change in a month: -20.93%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 68.56
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -38.61%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 86.49
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -22.56%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 185
  • Price forecast change in a year: 65.65%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 41
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 43.31
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 43.31
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 104
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 61.05
140.96%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 80.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 80.09
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 30.03
37.50%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 41
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 43.31
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 43.31
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 38.99
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 47.06
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 47.64
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 44.98
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 52.46
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 60.73
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 60.28
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 59.91
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 52.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 47.56
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 67.28
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 104
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 61.05
140.96%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 80.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 80.09
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 30.03
37.50%
Result
👍 Success
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 91.08
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 123
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
89%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
971 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
358 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
202 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.3
212%
From last month
407 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
16 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 040
165%
From last month
299 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.2
50%
From last month
4130 offers on 11 markets

Description

The M4A4 | Bullet Rain-Minimal Wear is a highly reliable assault rifle. Counter-Terrorists favor it for its accuracy while the damage dealt is a bit less than that of the AK-47. The custom paint job has featured an interesting design of clouds raining bullets, adding some extra flair into its look.

History

History

M4A4 | Bullet Rain first appeared in CS2 on July 10th, 2014, when it was pulled from the eSports 2014 Summer Case as part of the "Summer is heating up" update. Since that date, the skin has been gaining a great reputation as one of the most wanted items among players, featuring typical raindrop patterns on its body and minimum wear condition.

Origin

Origin

M4A4 | Bullet Rain does make a very catching outside with minimal wear and one can pull it only from the container eSports 2014 Summer Case, which is why this skin is so desirable among CS2 enthusiasts. The skin belongs to the eSports 2014 Summer Collection, meaning in games, players will get a really nice-looking and well-preserved weapon to show off their style and skills.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Bullet Rain-Minimal Wear is also a very popular CS2 skin, with a rating in popularity reaching 90%. Its general appeal could be established by its top daily sales volume and excellent premium price it holds in the market, which cements its status as among the most popular in-game skins.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A4 | Bullet Rain was added to the game on July 22, 2014. It's part of the Chroma Collection and among only 255 rifle skins in CS2. The skin has covert rarity which makes it very rare, together with an estimated drop chance of merely 0.64%.

Versions

Versions

Skin overview. Minimal Wear The float value of this M4A4 | Bullet Rain Minimal Wear skin ranges between 0.02 and 0.46, making it so that one can have the exact skin in many conditions. Furthermore, for each exterior, a StatTrak variant is available, adding that personal touch to the Bullet Rain.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Bullet Rain Minimal Wear community sentiment is generally positive. This skin is rated on average as 4.1 out of 5 stars according to addskins.gg, based on over 7.6K votes. It has the highest ranking by pros because it is held by the well-known CS: GO players like happy and byali.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A4 features a rather unique skin style known as "Custom Paint Job." The Bullet Rain finish really shows and provides extreme customization with wide varieties of bright colors. The skin is in striking red and cyan color bases, while the pattern indexes do not make any difference to this prominent Bullet Rain finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 88.31 (-20.93%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 68.56 (-38.61%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 86.49 (-22.56%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 185 (65.65%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.46
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players