M4A4 | Daybreak (Field-Tested)

4.9 9140 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 5
+0.71%
Last month
$ 5
+0.71%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 677
-5.16%
In a quarter
$ 727
+1.84%
In half a year
$ 914
+28.04%
In a year
$ 1 927
+170.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
34% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
17 offers on 3 markets
Updated14 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Daybreak (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A4 | Daybreak inspecting M4A4 | Daybreak reloading M4A4 | Daybreak holding M4A4 | Daybreak pose-1 M4A4 | Daybreak pose-2 M4A4 | Daybreak pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 714
  • 24h price change: 0.2809%
  • 7 days low: $ 709
  • 7 days high: $ 1 138
  • 7 days price change: 0.71%
  • 30 days low: $ 709
  • 30 days high: $ 1 689
  • 30 days price change: 0.71%
  • 90 days low: $ 510
  • 90 days high: $ 1 689
  • Year low: $ 233
  • Year high: $ 94 881
  • All time low: $ 180
  • All time high: $ 94 881
  • All time max offers: 30
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7
  • Sales for last 30 days: 9
  • Sales for last 90 days: 20
  • All time sales: 66
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 3.89
  • Volatility: 19.93%
  • Liquidity: 4.16%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 677
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.16%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 727
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 1.84%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 914
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 28.04%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1 927
  • Price forecast change in a year: 170.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Daybreak (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 700
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 594
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 594
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 700
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 594
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 594
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 518
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 568
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 568
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 546
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 533
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 534
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 510
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 594
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 885
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 692
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 783
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 820
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 810
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 712
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 594
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
34%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

M4A4 | Daybreak: A dependable pick for the Counter-Terrorist force, trading a bit of the AK-47's damage for better accuracy. The blade/sharp metallic paint job celebrates an attractive sunrise-a symbolism that justice and equity shine upon one and all, whatever their alignment may be.

History

History

It was introduced into CS2 on May 26th, 2015, during the "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. Since its introduction, this skin has been one of the most popular M4A4 skins due to its striking colors and complex design, mostly desired by the majority of players in making their in-game statements.

Origin

Origin

The Daybreak version of the M4A4 skin is very sought after and can't be acquired via the opening of any container but has dropped under the highly limited Rising Sun Collection, making it very rare to find among collectors and players alike. Their detailed design is a superbly amazing sunrise represented by colors and patterns; this gives the gun a touch of class and uniqueness found nowhere else in players' arsenals.

Popularity

Popularity

The Daybreak skin is really popular and holds 90% in popularity amongst all M4A4 | Daybreak Field-Tested CS2 skins. It is so popular because of its good-looking design and is highly valued because of its high volume and price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Daybreak is one of 255 other Rifle skins; by the meaning itself, this is a rather rare drop in CS2. The skin comes with a Rarity classification of Restricted and an estimated Drop Chance of 15.98%, the Daybreak skin will require lots of luck to get a drop.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Daybreak has also got a float value from 0.00 to 0.60 in the Field-Tested condition, which allows players to get this skin in many different stages of wear. But anyway, for all collectors and fans, it should be underlined that StatTrak or Souvenir versions of Daybreak are not available.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Skins in CS2 are based on community sentiment. Community sentiment regarding M4A4 | Daybreak is actually positive, considering that its average rating is as high as 4.9 out of 5 stars according to over 9K votes on addskins.gg. This was further reinforced by the number of top professional CS2 players owning this, including hobbit, krystal, and gratisfaction.

Finish style

Finish style

This Field-Tested M4A4 features the Daybreak finish with a stunning, candy-coated multicolored pattern. The base color used in this skin is a warm brown tint, which enriches the depth of its general look. Also, uniqueness to the Daybreak finish is added by a pattern index, which affects the exact placement and arrangement of the multicolored elements in such a way that no two skins are alike.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Daybreak (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 677 (-5.16%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 727 (1.84%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 914 (28.04%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1 927 (170.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 0.6
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.