M4A4 | Daybreak (Minimal Wear)

4.9 9133 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 21
+2.91%
Last month
$ 62
+9.1%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 744
+2.74%
In a quarter
$ 744
+2.74%
In half a year
$ 936
+29.25%
In a year
$ 1 909
+164.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
43% - Forecast accuracy
43% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
64 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Daybreak (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Daybreak inspecting M4A4 | Daybreak reloading M4A4 | Daybreak holding M4A4 | Daybreak pose-1 M4A4 | Daybreak pose-2 M4A4 | Daybreak pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 743
  • 24h price change: 2.91%
  • 7 days low: $ 722
  • 7 days high: $ 2 740
  • 7 days price change: 2.91%
  • 30 days low: $ 681
  • 30 days high: $ 2 817
  • 30 days price change: 9.1%
  • 90 days low: $ 432
  • 90 days high: $ 2 817
  • Year low: $ 240
  • Year high: $ 103 750
  • All time low: $ 187
  • All time high: $ 103 750
  • All time max offers: 68
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 6
  • Sales for last 30 days: 18
  • Sales for last 90 days: 40
  • All time sales: 94
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 5.77
  • Volatility: 9.2%
  • Liquidity: 3.7%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 744
  • Price forecast change in a month: 2.74%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 744
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.74%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 936
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 29.25%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1 909
  • Price forecast change in a year: 164.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Daybreak (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 577
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 577
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 577
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 577
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 560
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 555
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 525
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 525
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 480
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 530
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 529
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 553
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 646
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 654
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 880
Action
🔥 Buy
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 954
Action
🔥 Buy
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 980
Action
🔥 Buy
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 681
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 823
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 577
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
43%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
43%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

M4A4 | Daybreak-Minimal Wear: A dependable and accurate assault rifle; favorite of Counter-Terrorists. This smooth design houses a breathtaking sunrise, in metallic hues. And justice is served to let good and evil shine down upon them both.

History

History

The M4A4 | Daybreak entered the world of CS2, coming on May 26th, 2015, in the highly expected "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. Since then, this battle-worn skin has become a badge of resilience and survival on the virtual battlefield, impressing players with its worn-out yet striking look.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Daybreak doesn't have Minimal Wear since it can only be part of the Rising Sun Collection, and it is impossible to get by container openings. Its unusual design and extreme rarity make it the object of desire for collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Daybreak Minimal Wear has acquired a popularity rating of 90% within the community. The demand for this skin could be evidenced by its volume and selling price daily. Indeed, it makes the skin one of the most in-demand in-game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Daybreak Minimal Wear is a member of 255 other Rifle skins in CS2. This skin belongs to the Restricted rarity class and, as such, is relatively rare; it reportedly drops with an approximate chance of 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

M4A4 | Daybreak - The float value for the Minimal Wear ranges from 0.00 to 0.60, allowing this skin to be found in other wear stages. However, the critical thing for any collector must know is that there are no StatTrak or Souvenir forms of the Daybreak, which again cuts down options for looking for special variants of this particular skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Daybreak has received extremely positive community sentiment, receiving more than 9K votes on addskins.gg with an outstanding average rating of 4.9 of 5 stars. To show just how popular this skin is, ownership includes professional CS2 players such as hobbit, krystal, and gratisfaction.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A4 | Daybreak (Minimal Wear) skin has a fancier "Anodized Multicolored" look since the candy coat in it is applied in a very catching multicolored pattern with the help of silk-screening or adherable stencils. The base color of this skin is a deep brown tint, and appearance of the Daybreak finish is determined by its pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Daybreak (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 744 (2.74%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 744 (2.74%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 936 (29.25%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1 909 (164.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.6
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.