M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn)

4.9 9186 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 783
+0.3846%
In a quarter
$ 844
+8.21%
In half a year
$ 999
+28.08%
In a year
$ 2 015
+158.0%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
👎 Low
80% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
5 offers on 4 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
2 offers
from $ 780
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
1 offers
from $ 898
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 898
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 1 226
Inspect skin
M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | Daybreak inspecting M4A4 | Daybreak reloading M4A4 | Daybreak holding M4A4 | Daybreak pose-1 M4A4 | Daybreak pose-2 M4A4 | Daybreak pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 780
  • 7 days low: $ 780
  • 7 days high: $ 1 609
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 780
  • 30 days high: $ 1 609
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 361
  • 90 days high: $ 1 609
  • Year low: $ 225
  • Year high: $ 1 609
  • All time low: $ 207
  • All time high: $ 1 609
  • All time max offers: 6
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 4
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.86
  • Volatility: 73.5%
  • Liquidity: 0.53%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 783
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.3846%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 844
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 8.21%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 999
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 28.08%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 2 015
  • Price forecast change in a year: 158.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 813
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 361
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 361
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 603
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 242
66.84%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 511
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 511
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 813
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 808
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 798
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 787
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 797
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 801
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 361
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 361
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 603
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 242
66.84%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 511
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 511
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 600
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 603
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 602
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1 510
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 967
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 823
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 832
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 1 229
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 242
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 872
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
80%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn): For the more accurate automatic rifle, though bearing lesser firepower, it is the favorite among the Counter-Terrorists against the AK-47. The metallic paint offers a great view of sunrise; this is an omen that justice and fairness are always served to everyone as it comes up to any person-be it good or bad.

History

History

The M4A4 | Daybreak entered the world of CS2, coming on May 26th, 2015, in the highly expected "The Hunter and the Hunted" update. Since then, this battle-worn skin has become a badge of resilience and survival on the virtual battlefield, impressing players with its worn-out yet striking look.

Origin

Origin

The Well-Worn M4A4 | Daybreak is one of those skins that are not available through container openings but can be obtained via the Rising Sun Collection. Here, as the very name would suggest, the skin sports a highly attractively designed sunrise pattern with minute details, which, in general, makes it one of the highly desired skins for collectors and players.

Popularity

Popularity

The CS2 M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn) reaches a popularity rating of 90%. For its high desirability and high demand, it is likely regarded as one of the most popular things in-game if judged by consistent volume every day and its price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A4 | Daybreak, in other words, means well-worn and represents one skin out of 255 rifle skins existing in CS2. It is also believed to be quite rare for a player's arsenal. Having restricted rarity, the drop chance of the Daybreak was estimated to be 15.98%, adding its desirability for collectors and enthusiasts.

Versions

Versions

The wear of the M4A4 | Daybreak in Well-Worn condition ranges between 0.40 and 0.60; one would notice that it has clear wear but the overall is still there. Unfortunately, collectors will not be able to find StatTrak or Souvenir versions of this skin. Because of this, the skin is only exclusive to its well-worn exterior.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn) has gained over 9K votes on addskins.gg and received an amazing average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars, testifying to the great love with which this skin was received by the community. It is also widely popular among the professional CS2 player environment, represented by players such as hobbit, krystal, and gratisfaction, who proudly own and use this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This is the M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn), a realistic "Anodized Multicolored" style where the candy coat is applied in bright, multicolored ways using silk-screen or adherable stencil techniques. The base skin has a rich brown tint, while the unique pattern index for Daybreak gives this gun some serious depth and variation over the finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Daybreak (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 783 (0.3846%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 844 (8.21%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 999 (28.08%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 2 015 (158.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.6
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.