M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)

3.6 10224 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 11
+7.91%
Last month
$ 74.93
+99.81%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 139
-9.35%
In a quarter
$ 102
-33.48%
In half a year
$ 142
-7.39%
In a year
$ 370
+141.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
78% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
379 offers on 10 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Desert-Strike inspecting M4A4 | Desert-Strike reloading M4A4 | Desert-Strike holding M4A4 | Desert-Strike pose-1 M4A4 | Desert-Strike pose-2 M4A4 | Desert-Strike pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 150
  • 24h price change: -1.96%
  • 7 days low: $ 139
  • 7 days high: $ 1 593
  • 7 days price change: 7.91%
  • 30 days low: $ 75.07
  • 30 days high: $ 1 593
  • 30 days price change: 99.81%
  • 90 days low: $ 40.66
  • 90 days high: $ 1 593
  • Year low: $ 5.76
  • Year high: $ 3 627
  • All time low: $ 5.36
  • All time high: $ 3 627
  • All time max offers: 782
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 22
  • Sales for last 7 days: 184
  • Sales for last 30 days: 987
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1882
  • All time sales: 4834
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 1.88
  • Volatility: 16.68%
  • Liquidity: 6.31%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 139
  • Price forecast change in a month: -9.35%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 102
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -33.48%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 142
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -7.39%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 370
  • Price forecast change in a year: 141.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 28.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 24.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.1
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 46.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 22.39
92.90%
Result
👍 Success
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 40.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 40.66
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 73.79
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 33.13
81.48%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 79.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 79.99
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 60.62
75.78%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 141
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 28.17
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 24.1
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.1
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 28.97
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 43.84
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 46.49
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 22.39
92.90%
Result
👍 Success
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 40.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 40.66
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 54.79
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 73.79
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 33.13
81.48%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 79.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 79.99
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 60.62
75.78%
Result
👍 Success
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 157
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 141
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 170
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 118
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 116
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 285
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
4
Sell count
3
Success count
3
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
78%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The M4A4 | Desert-Strike is pulled straight out of the factory, an honest-to-goodness choice for the Counter-Terrorist team, lending to close combat with better accuracy than its damage-forfeiting cousin, the AK-47. Sleekly designed with tan and black on its high-tech design, it adds an air of grace in the hands of its wielder.

History

History

The M4A4 | Desert-Strike originally came into the world of CS2 on May 1st, 2014, with the Huntsman Weapon Case. This skin designed by the brilliant community designer known as "Nextgenz" immediately shot to prominence due to its incredible detail in its desert-inspired design and its pristine Factory New condition.

Origin

Origin

M4A4 | Desert-Strike-An extremely exclusive skin from The Huntsman Collection. Factory New, can be obtained only through opening a Huntsman Weapon Case container to allow the players to get their hands on this highly wanted skin. It is part of the exclusive collection skin and, hence, hardly ever shared with many owners.

Popularity

Popularity

The popularity of the M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) is extremely high, at 90%, because of the huge volume of sales every day and the skin being so expensive. This makes the skin one of the hottest items in the CS2 community.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Desert-Strike belongs to one of 255 other Rifle skins in CS2 but is really one of the hottest-desired pieces due to its rarity as a Covert skin. At an estimated drop chance of only 0.64%, getting a Factory New Desert-Strike is actually quite a catch for any collector or player.

Versions

Versions

The range of the float value is from 0.00 to 0.70, which means players can get this skin in any condition-from pristine Factory New to well-worn Battle-Scarred. Apart from that, for each exterior of the Desert-Strike, collectors and enthusiasts will be able to find another variant with StatTrak, adding a bit more personal touch to tracking their kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Desert-Strike Factory New for CS2 has attracted a lot of attention, as over 10.2K votes on addskins.gg gave it an average rating of 3.6 out of 5 stars. In professional CS2, this skin is well-known and used by such great players as flusha, fallen, and happy.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M4A4 | Desert-Strike features a custom paint job, in very specific and unique form. The black and gray hues add sleek and tactical touches to this finish, while the Desert-Strike finish remains consistent for all pattern indexes to offer a uniform and captivating design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 139 (-9.35%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 102 (-33.48%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 142 (-7.39%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 370 (141.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class