M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)

4.2 5007 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 9.81
+11.05%
Last month
$ 43.28
+78.22%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 86.67
-12.42%
In a quarter
$ 80.54
-18.61%
In half a year
$ 106
+7.11%
In a year
$ 234
+136.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
75% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
450 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Desolate Space inspecting M4A4 | Desolate Space reloading M4A4 | Desolate Space holding M4A4 | Desolate Space pose-1 M4A4 | Desolate Space pose-2 M4A4 | Desolate Space pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 98.61
  • 24h price change: 8.85%
  • 7 days low: $ 88.8
  • 7 days high: $ 586
  • 7 days price change: 11.05%
  • 30 days low: $ 55.33
  • 30 days high: $ 590
  • 30 days price change: 78.22%
  • 90 days low: $ 48.93
  • 90 days high: $ 590
  • Year low: $ 15.95
  • Year high: $ 7 731
  • All time low: $ 15.92
  • All time high: $ 7 731
  • All time max offers: 1016
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 22
  • Sales for last 7 days: 147
  • Sales for last 30 days: 620
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1515
  • All time sales: 4297
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 3.76
  • Volatility: 13.11%
  • Liquidity: 9.27%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 86.67
  • Price forecast change in a month: -12.42%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 80.54
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -18.61%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 106
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 7.11%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 234
  • Price forecast change in a year: 136.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 54.17
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 54.17
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 91.45
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 37.28
68.82%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 95.51
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 95.51
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 54.17
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 54.17
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 43.44
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 46.18
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 51.48
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 51.48
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 48.93
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 55.53
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 64
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 91.45
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 37.28
68.82%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 112
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 95.51
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 95.51
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 89.11
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 96.21
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 65.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 100
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 37.28
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 150
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The M4A4 | Desolate Space is a sure choice in the Counter-Terrorist arsenal, offering improved accuracy without sacrificing firepower. This is an urban unheard-of sleek creation with a custom, space-themed paint job inspired by mystery and isolation, merging into the theme: "We've lost contact."

History

History

The M4A4 | Desolate Space showed up for the first time in the CS: GO community on June 15th, 2016, with the release of the Gamma Case during the "Gamma Exposure" update. This beautiful skin was designed by the talented community designer Andy, and very soon after that, it gained wide popularity due to its fancy cosmic design combined with a factory fresh finish.

Origin

Origin

M4A4 | Desolate Space was added to the game through the container Gamma Case. One of the exclusive skins for The Gamma Collection, players have the unique opportunity to display the skin's exhaustive design and pristine condition in battle.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A4 | Desolate Space Factory New is so in demand among CS2 enthusiasts, being at the top of the popularity chart with 99%. In other words, the desirability of the item manifests in huge daily sales volume and at an extremely high price, hence one of the most wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Desolate Space is something special among 255 Rifle skins, so it's really popular among CS2 players. Since the skin has a Classified rarity, it means that Desolate Space is super rare, with an estimated drop chance of only 3.2%.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) has been a pretty versatile skin in CS: GO, ranging from 0.00 to 1.00 float value for each of the many different exteriors available. Additionally, collectors can acquire a StatTrak version of the Desolate Space skin for each of the exterior options.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Since the release, CS2 M4A4 | Desolate Space became a real buzz in the community, counting over 5K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.2 out of 5 stars. It also gained a reputation among pro CS2 players because owners include such greats as fallen, olofmeister, and taz.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M4A4 | Desolate Space features a "Custom Paint Job" finish, but the more general appeal lies in the large number of personalized aesthetics one could use with it-a real showstopper of blues and cyans. The Desolate Space finish is unaffected by the pattern index used.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Desolate Space (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 86.67 (-12.42%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 80.54 (-18.61%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 106 (7.11%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 234 (136.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.