M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear)

4.4 8521 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.64
+12.08%
Last month
$ 1.21
+25.58%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.72
-6.54%
In a quarter
$ 5.59
-8.66%
In half a year
$ 5.73
-6.37%
In a year
$ 5.91
-3.43%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
25% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
150 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Faded Zebra inspecting M4A4 | Faded Zebra reloading M4A4 | Faded Zebra holding M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-1 M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-2 M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 5.94
  • 24h price change: 12.08%
  • 7 days low: $ 5.3
  • 7 days high: $ 300
  • 7 days price change: 12.08%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.73
  • 30 days high: $ 300
  • 30 days price change: 25.58%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.69
  • 90 days high: $ 300
  • Year low: $ 3.69
  • Year high: $ 1 140
  • All time low: $ 2.36
  • All time high: $ 1 140
  • All time max offers: 191
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 6
  • Sales for last 7 days: 65
  • Sales for last 30 days: 186
  • Sales for last 90 days: 382
  • All time sales: 1012
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.2328
  • Volatility: 16.84%
  • Liquidity: 9.11%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.72
  • Price forecast change in a month: -6.54%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.59
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.66%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 5.73
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -6.37%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 5.91
  • Price forecast change in a year: -3.43%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.53
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.05
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 4.33
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 4.84
Action
📉 Sell
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.26
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.59
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.74
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.53
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.05
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 4.33
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 4.84
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.84
Action
📉 Sell
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.06
Action
📉 Sell
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.04
Action
📉 Sell
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.25
Action
📉 Sell
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.95
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.26
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.59
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.74
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.84
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.6
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 6.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 6.12
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
25%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) - much like the AK-47 - becomes a reliable and satisfyingly true option for Counter-Terrorists, with higher accuracy coming with a very slight ding to the damages. A rather large, very characteristic stripe of a zebra is painted in spray paint across this weapon.

History

History

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra came into CS2 on August 14th, 2013, when it was released as part of the eSports 2013 Case. It instantly gained popularity among the players when this iconic skin added some edge to their style, having a faded zebra pattern on it.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra, with its worn zebra pattern, became one of the popular skins among players in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. It was made available through the eSports 2013 Case, where players could obtain it, along with other restricted skins from the eSports 2013 Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

Thanks to its 85% popularity, the M4A4 Faded Zebra Minimal Wear is one of the most wanted skins among CS2 players. The popularity index here allows for this skin to be among the top 15% of the most popular items in the game based on daily volume sold and reasonable market price due to popularity.

Rarity

Rarity

This is one of 255 other rifle skins in CS2. Being in Mil-Spec Grade, the skin is a relatively common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Versions

Versions

The CS2 skin is available in all manners of exterior, with float values ranging from 0.06 to 0.80, so there will be much variety for the players. In addition, for each exterior, there is also a StatTrak version of the Faded Zebra skin so that players may track kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

M4A4 | Faded Zebra gathered more than 8.4K votes on addskins.gg and had a really great average rating of 4.4 stars out of 5. This popular skin has also found favor among well-respected pro CS2 players like neo, n0thing, and xizt, further stamping its reputation into competitive circles.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A4 has a "Spray-Paint" style finish, painted in a Faded Zebra pattern achieved using stencil patterns. The majority grayish-colored hue gives it an extra worn and weathered appearance. This skin will have a slightly different final look depending on the pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 5.72 (-6.54%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 5.59 (-8.66%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 5.73 (-6.37%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 5.91 (-3.43%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players