M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)

4.6 84 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 6
+1.35%
Last month
$ 195
+76.47%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 207
-54.0%
In a quarter
$ 1 233
+174.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
75% - Forecast accuracy
25% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
187 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Hellish inspecting M4A4 | Hellish reloading M4A4 | Hellish holding M4A4 | Hellish pose-1 M4A4 | Hellish pose-2 M4A4 | Hellish pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 450
  • 24h price change: 1.35%
  • 7 days low: $ 444
  • 7 days high: $ 1 169
  • 7 days price change: 1.35%
  • 30 days low: $ 255
  • 30 days high: $ 1 928
  • 30 days price change: 76.47%
  • 90 days low: $ 141
  • 90 days high: $ 1 962
  • Year low: $ 109
  • Year high: $ 29 906
  • All time low: $ 109
  • All time high: $ 29 906
  • All time max offers: 281
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 15
  • Sales for last 30 days: 78
  • Sales for last 90 days: 208
  • All time sales: 471
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 1.39
  • Volatility: 22.59%
  • Liquidity: 22.65%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 207
  • Price forecast change in a month: -54.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1 233
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 174.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 168
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 196
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 196
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 692
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 496
252.92%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 530
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 530
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 168
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 149
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 164
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 178
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 196
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 196
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 290
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 333
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 354
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 692
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 496
252.92%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 530
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 530
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 374
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 377
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 553
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 496
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 726
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
25%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) is a fiery and intimidating skin for the M4A4, featuring vibrant orange and yellow flames against a sleek black glitter base. It offers precise shooting capabilities and is a popular choice among Counter-Terrorists for its balance of accuracy and firepower.

History

History

The M4A4 | Hellish was first introduced to CS2 1 month ago, on March 31st, 2025. It was released as part of the "Inferno Collection" update, featuring a fiery design inspired by the depths of hell.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) skin was first introduced as part of the Train 2025 Collection, and can only be acquired through trading or purchasing on the Steam Community Market. Its fiery design and vibrant colors make it a sought-after skin among players in the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the M4A4 | Hellish in Factory New condition is highly sought after, ranking as one of the top choices among CS2 players. This popularity measurement is determined by analyzing its usage in matches and the frequency of trades on the marketplace.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Hellish is one of 304 other Rifle skins available in CS2. Its rarity is classified as Covert, making it an extremely rare drop with an estimated drop chance of only 0.5%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $16.13 and $113.99, the M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) skin offers a range of affordability for CS:GO players. Thankfully, this highly sought-after skin is readily accessible across various marketplaces, making it a popular choice among collectors and players alike.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Hellish in Factory New condition features a vibrant red and black design with intricate demonic details, making it a highly sought-after skin in CS2. Players can enjoy the Hellish skin in all exteriors, but there are no StatTrak or Souvenir versions available for this fiery weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Hellish in Factory New condition has garnered more than 120 votes on community marketplaces, resulting in a solid average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars among CS:GO players. Its fiery design and pristine condition have made it a sought-after choice for many in the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) features a unique "Custom Paint Job" style with the Hellish finish, allowing for a fully customizable appearance in a variety of colors. The primary color of this skin is a vibrant yellow hue, unaffected by different pattern indexes, and is showcased on the new CS2 model.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Hellish (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 207 (-54.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 1 233 (174.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.