M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New)

3.9 1615 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.31
+7.75%
Last month
$ 1.26
+41.31%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.41
-1.12%
In a quarter
$ 4.58
+2.69%
In half a year
$ 5.56
+24.66%
In a year
$ 13.14
+195.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
81% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1209 offers on 10 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Magnesium inspecting M4A4 | Magnesium reloading M4A4 | Magnesium holding M4A4 | Magnesium pose-1 M4A4 | Magnesium pose-2 M4A4 | Magnesium pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.31
  • 24h price change: 6.95%
  • 7 days low: $ 4
  • 7 days high: $ 349
  • 7 days price change: 7.75%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.05
  • 30 days high: $ 541
  • 30 days price change: 41.31%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.03
  • 90 days high: $ 541
  • Year low: $ 1.66
  • Year high: $ 1 544
  • All time low: $ 1.17
  • All time high: $ 1 544
  • All time max offers: 1638
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 54
  • Sales for last 7 days: 397
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1736
  • Sales for last 90 days: 5113
  • All time sales: 14940
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 5.31
  • Volatility: 12.99%
  • Liquidity: 11.14%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.41
  • Price forecast change in a month: -1.12%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 4.58
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.69%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 5.56
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 24.66%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 13.14
  • Price forecast change in a year: 195.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.46
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.46
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.57
23.17%
Result
👍 Success
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.54
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.54
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.46
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.46
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.43
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.38
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.58
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.4
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.03
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.57
23.17%
Result
👍 Success
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.53
Action
📉 Sell
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.6
Action
📉 Sell
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.2
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.03
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.54
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.54
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.96
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 4.92
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 3.05
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 4.88
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.57
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 8
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
81%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The M4A4 | Magnesium is a very accurate assault rifle in the hands of Counter-Terrorists. It is more precise than the AK-47 and works well with a range of shooting tactics. This sleek design features a hand-painted motif of various flaming hot flames and a winged defuser in white against a dark grey base, ideal for the speedsters that live life in the fast lane.

History

History

The M4A4 | Magnesium skin appeared in CS2 on December 6th, 2018, when the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update arrived and brought the Danger Zone Case. Stylish and nice to the eye, this skin was designed by the very talented community designer known as "EGO DEATH." With its unique finish made from magnesium alloy, clean design, and thusly becoming popular among the player base rather fast.

Origin

Origin

M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) is one of the highly demanded skins in CS2. The skin could be opened by receiving a container called Danger Zone Case, which holds various weapon skins inside it. This skin is part of The Danger Zone Collection and includes several weapon skins inspired by hazardous and intense environments of Battle Royale mode.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Magnesium, in Factory New quality, has become one of the most sought-after skins within the CS2 population, with a desire rating of as many as 90%. It is well reflected by the high sales volume and the premium price it commands, thus securing its position as one of the most wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Magnesium is one of 255 other Rifle skins in CS2 and is considered to be a rather common find. Its estimated drop chance is 79.92%, and its Mil-Spec Grade rarity makes it rather easily obtainable for players.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A4 | Magnesium in Factory New condition ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, which means this skin can be found in all exteriors, ranging from pristine to battle-scarred. Additionally, for collectors and enthusiasts, each of the Magnesium skin exteriors has a StatTrak version available.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment in relation to the M4A4 | Magnesium skin in CS2 is positive, with over 1.5K votes for this skin on addsjakins.com, with an average rating of 3.9 out of 5 stars. Moreover, one more indicator of popularity is that this skin is owned by such professional players as fallen, fnx, and aizy.

Finish style

Finish style

The Factory New finish in CS2 for M4A4 | Magnesium sports a "Gunsmith" skin with an awesome marriage between patina and custom paint styles. Its predominant gray shades give it a sleek modern appearance, but the pattern indexes have absolutely no bearing on the beautiful Magnesium finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 4.41 (-1.12%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 4.58 (2.69%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 5.56 (24.66%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 13.14 (195.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players