M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)

4.9 6173 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 23
+10.13%
Last month
$ 166
+199%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 196
-22.15%
In a quarter
$ 142
-43.6%
In half a year
$ 175
-30.49%
In a year
$ 380
+50.93%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
474 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Bitskins
Bitskins
4 offers
from $ 250
Skinport
Skinport
22 offers
from $ 258
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
146 offers
from $ 262
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
19 offers
from $ 264
White.Market
White.Market
124 offers
from $ 279
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
98 offers
from $ 283
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
9 offers
from $ 284
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
5 offers
from $ 311
Steam
Steam
35 offers
from $ 347
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
12 offers
from $ 440
Inspect skin
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Neo-Noir inspecting M4A4 | Neo-Noir reloading M4A4 | Neo-Noir holding M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-1 M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-2 M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 250
  • 24h price change: 8.7%
  • 7 days low: $ 227
  • 7 days high: $ 673
  • 7 days price change: 10.13%
  • 30 days low: $ 83.61
  • 30 days high: $ 1 175
  • 30 days price change: 199%
  • 90 days low: $ 62.22
  • 90 days high: $ 1 175
  • Year low: $ 25.51
  • Year high: $ 7 594
  • All time low: $ 23.45
  • All time high: $ 7 594
  • All time max offers: 767
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 19
  • Sales for last 7 days: 186
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1059
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2006
  • All time sales: 5095
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.0721
  • Volatility: 14.78%
  • Liquidity: 7.09%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 196
  • Price forecast change in a month: -22.15%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 142
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -43.6%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 175
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -30.49%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 380
  • Price forecast change in a year: 50.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 55.29
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 55.29
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 120
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 64.71
117.04%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 124
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 121
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 121
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 246
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 124
102.33%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 55.29
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 55.29
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 53.1
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 49.4
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 63.98
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 63.98
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 62.58
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 79
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 92.55
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 120
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 64.71
117.04%
Result
👍 Success
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 124
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 121
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 121
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 128
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 159
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 169
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 192
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 246
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 124
102.33%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 189
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 177
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
984 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
462 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
259 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.28
211%
From last month
447 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
387 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
18 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 040
165%
From last month
398 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.22
50%
From last month
4908 offers on 11 markets

Description

The M4A4 | Neo-Noir is a reliable automatic rifle favored by many Counter-Terrorists due to the precision it provides, even though with a slight drawback in power compared to the AK-47. Factory New It has been custom painted with a fascinating blue-magenta painting of a woman against a gray scale desolate landscape. She mysteriously disappears into a crumbling dystopia clutching whatever she could salvage.

History

History

First, on February 14th, 2018, the M4A4 | Neo-Noir was featured in CS2 because of the Clutch Case and "Welcome to the Clutch" update. This incredibly beautiful skin was designed by the talented community designer "donschi" and immediately gained its considerable share of admiration due to its sleek neo-noir outlook.

Origin

Origin

The CS2 Factory New skin - M4A4 | Neo-Noir - can be obtained by opening a container called the Clutch Case. This case has a possibility of rewarding owners with several skin types for different weapons. Moreover, this particular skin is included in a set called The Clutch Collection. It unites a lot of visually striking weapon skins with an eloquent and mysterious vibe.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, the M4A4 | Neo-Noir Factory New enjoys very high demand, with the popularity rate at 99%. This sleek-looking skin and its rarity are one of the most sought-after things in CS2; this fact reflects the consistently high sales volume and price that the skin commands.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A4 | Neo-Noir-Factory New is a CS2 skin, and it belongs to the 255 rifle skins in the game. For that reason, it is a highly wanted cosmetic item. This Neo-Noir patterned M4A4 skin falls under the Covert rarity level. At that rare drop of 0.64%, it is super rare to get this gun while opening cases.

Versions

Versions

The float value range of M4A4 | Neo-Noir in Factory New is from 0.00 to 0.90, marking the skin availability in any exterior quality for the players to purchase. Each of its exterior options has a StatTrak variant for Neo-Noir, adding kill tracking to the weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Neo-Noir skin gets extremely high reviews from the community, with more than 6K votes on addskins.gg, which is surreal because it managed to scrape off an average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. It's not just that. Its popularity runs deeper in the community itself, as the skins are also held by the following known professional CS2 players: flusha, fallen, and snax.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A4 | Neo-Noir Factory New in CS2 has a "Custom Paint Job" finish and sports a wide range of colors with options in customization; pink is used in this Neo-Noir finish with purple in a particularly compelling way. The Neo-Noir finish for this skin doesn't have changes within pattern indexes; thus, it's consistent and visually appealing.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 196 (-22.15%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 142 (-43.6%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 175 (-30.49%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 380 (50.93%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.9
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players