M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)

4.9 6111 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 24.69
+50.64%
Last month
$ 54.35
+285%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 58.51
-20.61%
In a quarter
$ 34.34
-53.4%
In half a year
$ 36.75
-50.13%
In a year
$ 56.72
-23.04%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
89% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1162 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
21 offers
from $ 73.47
Skinport
Skinport
50 offers
from $ 73.77
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
523 offers
from $ 77.49
White.Market
White.Market
351 offers
from $ 77.57
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
20 offers
from $ 79.91
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
6 offers
from $ 87.03
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
11 offers
from $ 88.18
Steam
Steam
168 offers
from $ 90.77
Bitskins
Bitskins
5 offers
from $ 91.93
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
7 offers
from $ 119
Inspect skin
M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Neo-Noir inspecting M4A4 | Neo-Noir reloading M4A4 | Neo-Noir holding M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-1 M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-2 M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 73.45
  • 24h price change: 13.89%
  • 7 days low: $ 48.76
  • 7 days high: $ 850
  • 7 days price change: 50.64%
  • 30 days low: $ 19.1
  • 30 days high: $ 15 269
  • 30 days price change: 285%
  • 90 days low: $ 14.17
  • 90 days high: $ 15 269
  • Year low: $ 9.99
  • Year high: $ 15 269
  • All time low: $ 1.3
  • All time high: $ 15 269
  • All time max offers: 2612
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 210
  • Sales for last 7 days: 2014
  • Sales for last 30 days: 11306
  • Sales for last 90 days: 16575
  • All time sales: 39047
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: -3.27
  • Volatility: 13.46%
  • Liquidity: 4.81%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 58.51
  • Price forecast change in a month: -20.61%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 34.34
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -53.4%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 36.75
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -50.13%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 56.72
  • Price forecast change in a year: -23.04%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 14.77
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 14.77
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 25.17
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 10.4
70.39%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 24.48
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 24.38
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.38
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 33.36
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.98
36.83%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 14.77
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 14.77
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 13.94
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 13.31
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 13.68
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 14.25
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.17
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 14.42
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 25.17
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 10.4
70.39%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 24.48
Action
✋ Hold
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 24.38
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 24.38
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 22.81
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 19
Action
🔥 Buy
September 29, 2025
Price
$ 20.27
Action
🔥 Buy
October 7, 2025
Price
$ 19.43
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 22.53
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 33.36
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 8.98
36.83%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 52.92
Action
📉 Sell
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 75.7
Action
📉 Sell
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 19.38
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 39.15
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
89%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
967 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
358 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
202 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.3
212%
From last month
407 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
301 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
16 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 040
165%
From last month
299 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.2
50%
From last month
4130 offers on 11 markets

Description

The M4A4 | Neo-Noir-Minimal Wear is a sure upgrade for the Counter-Terrorists in improving accuracy and giving up some raw firepower compared to the AK-47. This particular skin features a custom paint job depicting a captivating blue-magenta woman right in the middle of a desolate grayscale backdrop, evoking mystery as she disappears into a decaying dystopian world.

History

History

The M4A4 | Neo-Noir came into CS2 on February 14th, 2018, upon release as part of the Clutch Case during the "Welcome to the Clutch" update. This striking skin came courtesy of a talented community artist, "donschi", and quickly became popular due to its darkly sleek mystery, beckoning players with the desire to put a little noir into their arsenal.

Origin

Origin

M4A4 | Neo-Noir-very cool skin with neo-noir elements-could be extracted from the container named Clutch Case. This skin is a part of the collection that bears the name The Clutch Collection, making this even more specific and desirable for CS2 fans.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Neo-Noir-Minimal Wear has managed to acquire an incredible 99% popularity rating in CS2, placing it on the leading edge of being one of the hottest items within the game. Its popularity is amazingly impressive and is determined through the constant high sales volume of the skin and commanding market price of the same skin.

Rarity

Rarity

But there is a reason why the M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) is one of the 255 rifle skins available in CS2, while its rarity makes it quite unique. This skin has Covert rarity and is an ultra-rare drop with a very small chance that amounts to 0.64%, which should explain why collectors and players alike make such a big deal out of it.

Versions

Versions

The float value of M4A4 Neo-Noir in Minimal Wear lies in the range from 0.07 to 0.15, which describes minor scratches and wear marks present on the skin that makes it appear a little used. The rest of the cases have this version available, and obviously, the player can choose based on his preference. Besides, for collectors, Neo-Noir has a StatTrak version in Minimal Wear, the special tracking feature counting the total kills one makes with the skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Above all, community sentiment regarding M4A4 | Neo-Noir in CS2 is purely positive; its average rating is as high as 4.9 out of 5 stars in more than 6K votes on addskins.gg. This skin is even more popular because owners include such famous professional players as flusha, fallen, and snax.

Finish style

Finish style

M4A4 | Neo-Noir Minimal Wear (Exterior) The minimal wear of the M4A4 | Neo-Noir in CS: GO is unique for its style of custom paint. The Neo-Noir skin happens to be extremely customized because of its finish, since its colors are independent of pattern indexes. This has resulted in a bright and striking look on this skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 58.51 (-20.61%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 34.34 (-53.4%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 36.75 (-50.13%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 56.72 (-23.04%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.9
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players