M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New)

4.7 1246 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.03
+3.9%
Last month
$ 0.18
+29.03%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 0.83
+1.59%
In a quarter
$ 0.61
-25.34%
In half a year
$ 0.68
-16.77%
In a year
$ 1.46
+78.7%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
72% - Forecast accuracy
15% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1168 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Poly Mag inspecting M4A4 | Poly Mag reloading M4A4 | Poly Mag holding M4A4 | Poly Mag pose-1 M4A4 | Poly Mag pose-2 M4A4 | Poly Mag pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 0.8
  • 7 days low: $ 0.77
  • 7 days high: $ 34.53
  • 7 days price change: 3.9%
  • 30 days low: $ 0.62
  • 30 days high: $ 78.05
  • 30 days price change: 29.03%
  • 90 days low: $ 0.2
  • 90 days high: $ 78.05
  • Year low: $ 0.16
  • Year high: $ 200
  • All time low: $ 0.16
  • All time high: $ 600
  • All time max offers: 8181
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 142
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1076
  • Sales for last 30 days: 4578
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13037
  • All time sales: 37924
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4106
  • Volatility: 15.79%
  • Liquidity: 5.39%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 0.83
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.59%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 0.61
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -25.34%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 0.68
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -16.77%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 1.46
  • Price forecast change in a year: 78.7%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 0.276
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
📉 Sell
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
❌ Avoid
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.88
Action
📉 Sell
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.7
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.7
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.25
35.71%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.276
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.26
Action
✋ Hold
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 0.27
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.21
Action
✋ Hold
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
📉 Sell
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 0.22
Action
📉 Sell
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 0.35
Action
📉 Sell
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 0.38
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 0.6
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 0.73
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 0.68
Action
❌ Avoid
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 0.88
Action
📉 Sell
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 1.04
Action
📉 Sell
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 0.7
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 0.7
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 0.95
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.25
35.71%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.25
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0.7
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
15%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

Dictates that this will be a reliable weapon in the hands of players on the Counter-Terrorist side, who rely on taking accurate shots with consistency. In addition, its sleek designs and durable construction make the M4A4 | Poly Mag look unique, adding a bit of class to any loadout.

History

History

The M4A4 | Poly Mag debuted in the virtual fields of CS2 on July 1st, 2022, as an update to "Recoil Case Skins" along with the Recoil Case. This bright and flashy skin by one ingenious community designer named "emu" gained fame rather quickly due to saturated colors and peculiar patterns made up of polygons.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Poly Mag is a Factory New skin in CS2, which can be obtained by opening a container in the Recoil Case. Being part of the exclusive look in The Recoil Collection, this skin provides its own unique twist to the gun M4A4.

Popularity

Popularity

So, the M4A4 | Poly Mag stands as poly-magged in the Factory New category, holding a strong 90% popularity rating in its CS2 community. Therefore, it is one of the well-liked skins that anyone can ever dream to get hold of, since a high sales volume and market value characterize how much demand it has.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Poly Mag is tagged as one of the 255 other rifle skins and falls in the rarity of Mil-Spec Grade. This is actually quite common to get in CS2, since its estimated drop chance amounts to 79.92%.

Versions

Versions

Factory New, the float value of the M4A4 | Poly Mag ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, which means this skin can be pulled by a player in any exterior variation. Then, for each exterior variation, there is also an available StatTrak variant for players who like tracking their kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The general community sentiment towards M4A4 | Poly Mag in CS2 is an overwhelmingly positive one. It's rated at 4.7 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg, based on more than 1.2K votes. In addition, its popularity is enhanced by the fact that pro players flusha and snax own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New M4A4 features the skin "Custom Paint Job", extolling the extremely popular Poly Mag finish. While showing many colors, this skin is dominated by a chocolate brown color that doesn't change with pattern indexes; this skin will always look good.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 0.83 (1.59%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.61 (-25.34%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.68 (-16.77%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 1.46 (78.7%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players