M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New)

4.9 6711 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.88
+1.74%
Last month
$ 25.83
+101%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 22.44
-58.95%
In a quarter
$ 99.49
+81.98%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
50% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
50% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1192 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Polysoup inspecting M4A4 | Polysoup reloading M4A4 | Polysoup holding M4A4 | Polysoup pose-1 M4A4 | Polysoup pose-2 M4A4 | Polysoup pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 51.36
  • 24h price change: -0.1749%
  • 7 days low: $ 50.48
  • 7 days high: $ 4 044
  • 7 days price change: 1.74%
  • 30 days low: $ 25.53
  • 30 days high: $ 4 091
  • 30 days price change: 101%
  • 90 days low: $ 16.05
  • 90 days high: $ 4 091
  • Year low: $ 7.56
  • Year high: $ 4 091
  • All time low: $ 7.56
  • All time high: $ 4 091
  • All time max offers: 1707
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 27
  • Sales for last 7 days: 218
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1466
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3889
  • All time sales: 10842
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.94
  • Volatility: 19.24%
  • Liquidity: 16.76%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 22.44
  • Price forecast change in a month: -58.95%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 99.49
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 81.98%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 14.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 14.66
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 13.04
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.62
-11.05%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 16.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 41.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 41.02
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 61.77
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 20.75
50.59%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 65.59
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 43.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 43.13
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 14.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 14.66
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 14.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 13.04
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -1.62
-11.05%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 16.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 15.51
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.05
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.32
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.06
Action
❌ Avoid
August 28, 2025
Price
$ 20.67
Action
❌ Avoid
September 5, 2025
Price
$ 27.73
Action
❌ Avoid
September 13, 2025
Price
$ 34.46
Action
❌ Avoid
September 21, 2025
Price
$ 41.02
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 41.02
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 61.77
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 20.75
50.59%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 65.59
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 43.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 43.13
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 42.55
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 55.34
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 19.13
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 98.81
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
3
Sell count
2
Success count
1
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
50%
79% - avg*
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Description

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) is a sleek and reliable choice for Counter-Terrorists, offering precise shooting capabilities with its full-auto assault rifle design. Its custom paint job features a vibrant array of colors that shimmer with pearlescent accents, making it stand out on the battlefield.

History

History

The M4A4 | Polysoup was first introduced to CS2 3 months ago, on October 2nd, 2024, as part of the "The Armory" update. Since its release, it has become a popular skin choice among players due to its unique design and clean appearance in Minimal Wear condition.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) skin was introduced as part of a limited-time promotion during the CS2 Major tournament, where players had the chance to earn it by participating in special in-game challenges. The skin quickly gained popularity for its vibrant design and became a sought-after item in the CS2 community.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) boasts a remarkable popularity of 95% in CS2, making it a highly sought-after skin among players. This high demand is reflected in its daily sales volume and consistent market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Polysoup is one of only 276 Rifle skins available in the game. Its rarity is classified as Restricted, making it a relatively rare drop with an estimated chance of 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Polysoup in Factory New condition features a float value range of 0.00 to 0.07, ensuring a pristine appearance with no visible wear. This skin is not available in StatTrak or Souvenir versions for CS2.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Polysoup in Factory New condition has garnered significant community approval with over 6711 votes on addskins, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. This sought-after skin has also found favor among professional CS2 players such as shox, boltz, and daps, further solidifying its popularity within the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) showcases a "Multicolored" finish style, where various hues blend together seamlessly. Each component of the weapon is meticulously painted with a vibrant array of colors, creating a dynamic and eye-catching appearance. The Polysoup finish remains consistent across different pattern indexes, ensuring a uniform and striking look regardless of the specific design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Polysoup (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 22.44 (-58.95%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 99.49 (81.98%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.64
Max: 0.64
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players