M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear)

4.9 7951 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.25
+1.4%
Last month
$ 7.94
+77.92%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 10.26
-44.84%
In a quarter
$ 34.84
+87.31%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
69% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
75% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
873 offers on 9 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Polysoup inspecting M4A4 | Polysoup reloading M4A4 | Polysoup holding M4A4 | Polysoup pose-1 M4A4 | Polysoup pose-2 M4A4 | Polysoup pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 18.13
  • 24h price change: -1.04%
  • 7 days low: $ 17.88
  • 7 days high: $ 256
  • 7 days price change: 1.4%
  • 30 days low: $ 10.19
  • 30 days high: $ 2 719
  • 30 days price change: 77.92%
  • 90 days low: $ 7.95
  • 90 days high: $ 2 719
  • Year low: $ 5.19
  • Year high: $ 2 719
  • All time low: $ 5.19
  • All time high: $ 2 719
  • All time max offers: 992
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 34
  • Sales for last 7 days: 294
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1921
  • Sales for last 90 days: 5005
  • All time sales: 13640
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.84
  • Volatility: 17.61%
  • Liquidity: 24.17%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 10.26
  • Price forecast change in a month: -44.84%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 34.84
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 87.31%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 8.16
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.16
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 7.29
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.87
-10.66%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.95
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.95
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 9
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.05
13.21%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 9.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.49
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 15.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.65
59.54%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 19.33
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 17.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.59
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 20.97
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.38
19.22%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.43
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.29
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.29
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.16
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 8.16
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.03
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 7.29
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -0.87
-10.66%
Result
👎 Fail
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.07
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.11
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 7.95
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 7.95
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.19
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 9
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.05
13.21%
Result
👍 Success
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 9.49
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.49
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 15.14
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 5.65
59.54%
Result
👍 Success
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 19.33
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 17.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.59
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 20.97
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.38
19.22%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.43
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.29
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 17.29
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 20.94
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 9.21
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 60.48
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
5
Sell count
4
Success count
3
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
69%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
75%
79% - avg*
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Description

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear) is a reliable choice for Counter-Terrorists, offering good accuracy and manageable recoil in combat situations. Its custom paint job features a vibrant mix of colors that give it a unique and eye-catching appearance.

History

History

The M4A4 | Polysoup was first introduced to CS2 3 months ago, on October 2nd, 2024, as part of the "The Armory" update. Since its release, it has become a popular skin choice among players due to its unique design and clean appearance in Minimal Wear condition.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear) skin was introduced as part of the CS2 community market update. It is a rare drop that can be acquired through gameplay or purchased from other players.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear) is currently highly sought-after, with a popularity rating of 90% in the CS2 community. This skin's desirability is driven by its unique design and relatively stable market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Polysoup is one of 276 Rifle skins available in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. With its Restricted rarity classification, the Polysoup skin is considered relatively rare, boasting an estimated drop chance of approximately 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Polysoup in Minimal Wear condition for CS2 has a float value ranging from 0.07 to 0.15, ensuring a clean and well-maintained appearance. This version does not have any StatTrak or Souvenir variants in the game.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Polysoup in Minimal Wear condition has garnered positive community sentiment, with a high number of favorable votes on addskins and an impressive average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Notably, professional CS2 players such as shox, boltz, and daps have added this skin to their collections, further solidifying its popularity within the gaming community.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A4 features the Polysoup finish, creating a unique blend of colors and patterns on the weapon's surface. The finish gives the gun a vibrant and dynamic appearance, with various hues blending together seamlessly.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Polysoup (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 10.26 (-44.84%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 34.84 (87.31%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.64
Max: 0.64
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players