M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn)

4.9 5665 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.07
+15.55%
Last month
$ 2.88
+56.8%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.64
-42.0%
In a quarter
$ 10.04
+25.5%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
70% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
136 offers on 8 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Avan.Market
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from $ 8
White.Market
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from $ 8.05
ShadowPay
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from $ 8.24
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
7 offers
from $ 8.6
Waxpeer
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5 offers
from $ 9.71
Steam
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35 offers
from $ 12
Skinport
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1 offers
from $ 12.88
Inspect skin
M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | Polysoup inspecting M4A4 | Polysoup reloading M4A4 | Polysoup holding M4A4 | Polysoup pose-1 M4A4 | Polysoup pose-2 M4A4 | Polysoup pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.95
  • 7 days low: $ 6.88
  • 7 days high: $ 13.18
  • 7 days price change: 15.55%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.07
  • 30 days high: $ 20.88
  • 30 days price change: 56.8%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.44
  • 90 days high: $ 42
  • Year low: $ 2.7
  • Year high: $ 42
  • All time low: $ 2.7
  • All time high: $ 42
  • All time max offers: 967
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 11
  • Sales for last 7 days: 114
  • Sales for last 30 days: 587
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1204
  • All time sales: 3192
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3205
  • Volatility: 17.67%
  • Liquidity: 14.72%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.64
  • Price forecast change in a month: -42.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 10.04
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 25.5%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.94
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.64
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.44
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.87
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 5.44
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 6.19
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 5.82
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.82
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 6.86
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.04
17.87%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.09
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 7.77
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.68
27.59%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.94
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.82
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.6
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.64
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.59
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.44
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.87
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 5.44
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 6.19
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 5.82
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.82
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 5.19
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.07
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.86
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.04
17.87%
Result
👍 Success
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.09
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.09
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.42
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 7.77
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.68
27.59%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.72
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 11.91
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
70%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
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Description

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn) is a reliable choice for Counter-Terrorists seeking accuracy and control in their engagements. Its custom paint job features a vibrant array of colors and pearlescent details, making it a standout weapon on the battlefield.

History

History

The M4A4 | Polysoup was first introduced to CS2 3 months ago, on October 2nd, 2024, as part of the "The Armory" update. Since its release, it has become a popular skin choice among players due to its unique design and clean appearance in Minimal Wear condition.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn) skin was introduced as part of a limited-time event in CS2, where players could earn it by completing specific in-game challenges. The design of the skin was inspired by a popular graphic design trend at the time, making it a sought-after item among collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn) is highly sought after in CS2, boasting a popularity rating of 95%. Its widespread appeal is evident through its strong presence in daily sales and consistent pricing trends within the community.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Polysoup is one of 276 Rifle skins available in CS2. Its rarity is classified as Restricted, making it a relatively uncommon drop with an estimated chance of 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a well-worn appearance. This skin does not have StatTrak or Souvenir versions in CS2.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn) in CS2 has garnered significant community support with over 5665 votes on addskins, resulting in an impressive average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. This skin has also found favor among professional CS2 players such as shox, boltz, and daps, further solidifying its popularity within the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn) in CS:GO features a finish style known as "Polysoup," where individual components of the weapon are painted with up to four unique colors before reassembly. In this specific skin, the colors used are predominantly in shades of gray, creating a cohesive and uniform look throughout the gun.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Polysoup (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 4.64 (-42.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 10.04 (25.5%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.64
Max: 0.64
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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