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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard This assault rifle is more accurate and is one of the favorites of the Counter-Terrorists, combining precise shots; however, it causes less damage than the AK-47. The surface is decorated with spray paint in a design that includes radiological warning hazard patterns, which give this factory-new weapon a rather peculiar visual appearance.
The M4A4 | Radiation Hazard appeared for the first time in virtual fields of CS2 on August 14th, 2013, being included in the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. This appearance-provoking skin made its way to players' arsenals and brought a sense of hazard and glow with it on the day of "The Arms Deal" update.
The Factory New M4A4 | Radiation Hazard can be obtained by opening Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package, and others. Besides that, it is included in The Nuke Collection, which adds to how obtainable the skin can get.
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard-Factory New is an extremely popular skin, 85% popularity in CS2; it is within the top 15% of most popular skins because it is determined through the volume and cost of sales each day.
The M4A4 | Radiation Hazard Factory New is one of 255 rifle skins in CS2, holding a Mil-Spec Grade rarity. That means it's a pretty common drop and holds an estimated probability of 79.92%.
Float value ranges from 0.06 to 0.80, which allows the players to get a variety of this skin in different outer layers, starting with Battle-Scarred and going up to Well-Worn, Field-Tested, Minimal Wear, and ending with Factory New. Moreover, in each of these outer layers, there are also Souvenir versions of the Radiation Hazard skin for collectors.
The M4A4 | Radiation Hazard has gained huge acceptance within the CS2 community: 4.7K votes and a perfect 5.0 star rating at addskins.gg, in fact. Professional players alike, some names which come to mind with ownership of this skin, Factory New, include fallen, niko, and byali.
The Factory New variation of M4A4 | Radiation Hazard features a Spray-Paint style and a unique finish, entitled Radiation Hazard. Numerous layers of spray paint are on the gun and have been applied through stencil patterns, yielding a primary color that has an attractive red tint. The pattern index is what defines the general appearance of the skin and gives each firearm a bit more individuality.
According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 490 (-4.58%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 491 (-4.38%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 460 (-10.42%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 843 (64.17%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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