M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)

4.3 8489 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 62
+14.22%
Last month
$ 228
+84.44%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 407
-13.12%
In a quarter
$ 292
-37.67%
In half a year
$ 360
-23.15%
In a year
$ 836
+78.46%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
72% - Forecast accuracy
15% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
102 offers on 10 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
42 offers
from $ 498
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 509
Skinport
Skinport
9 offers
from $ 512
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
7 offers
from $ 535
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
9 offers
from $ 537
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
5 offers
from $ 547
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
9 offers
from $ 589
Steam
Steam
10 offers
from $ 642
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 699
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
6 offers
from $ 1 020
Inspect skin
M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Royal Paladin inspecting M4A4 | Royal Paladin reloading M4A4 | Royal Paladin holding M4A4 | Royal Paladin pose-1 M4A4 | Royal Paladin pose-2 M4A4 | Royal Paladin pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 498
  • 24h price change: 6.64%
  • 7 days low: $ 436
  • 7 days high: $ 1 079
  • 7 days price change: 14.22%
  • 30 days low: $ 270
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 84.44%
  • 90 days low: $ 150
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 63.44
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 61.85
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 423
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 22
  • Sales for last 30 days: 100
  • Sales for last 90 days: 241
  • All time sales: 622
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3173
  • Volatility: 20.44%
  • Liquidity: 6.69%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 407
  • Price forecast change in a month: -13.12%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 292
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -37.67%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 360
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -23.15%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 836
  • Price forecast change in a year: 78.46%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 140
Action
✋ Hold
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
📉 Sell
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 175
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 162
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 162
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 386
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 224
138.11%
Result
👍 Success
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 385
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 385
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 490
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 105
27.34%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 140
Action
✋ Hold
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 200
Action
📉 Sell
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 175
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 162
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 162
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 166
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 165
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 218
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 220
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 304
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 292
Action
🔥 Buy
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 386
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 224
138.11%
Result
👍 Success
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 385
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 385
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 376
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 490
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 105
27.34%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 329
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 547
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
15%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
971 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
358 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
202 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.3
212%
From last month
407 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
301 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
16 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 040
165%
From last month
299 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.2
50%
From last month
4130 offers on 11 markets

Description

Factory New M4A4 | Royal Paladin is one of the most wanted Counter-Terrorist assault rifles, having a higher accuracy compared with its opponent, AK-47. Such beautiful engravings and painting make this gun very magnificent, and players love to get this weapon.

History

History

The skin M4A4 | Royal Paladin was released on December 11th, 2015, within the CS2 community along with the Revolver Case for the Winter Update. The beauty of this skin is credited to the genius of community designer Teo, and it fast found its place in the list of favorites of people who wanted to use a weapon that looked regal in their virtual fights.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Royal Paladin is a pristine and very royal skin that can only be pulled out of a container named Revolver Case, adding an air of exclusivity to its already-seductive appeal. Being one of the most noticeable representatives of The Revolver Case Collection, this Factory New skin embodies the notion of regality and elegance to such an extent that it enchains collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, the M4A4 | Royal Paladin has a high demand and popularity rating of 95% in CS2. Its popularity might be explained by its frequent sales and the quite considerable price this skin reaches on the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Royal Paladin is the most wanted rifle skin in CS2, considering there are only 255 others like it in existence. The rarity of this skin is classified as Covert, meaning this gun skin is an extremely rare drop-one that an individual could estimate to obtain with only a probability of 0.64%.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Royal Paladin has a float value from 0.00 to 0.80 and is therefore available in all conditions, which suits collectors and players of different tastes and budgets. Furthermore, for each of the many finishes, a StatTrak version is available in order to give some prestige to the collector's armory.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

M4A4 | Royal Paladin, for one, shows great community love to date and has been voted by many on addskinsDOTcom, with an average rating of 4.3 out of 5 stars. The ownership includes professional CS2 players like snax, jdm64, and jasonr, further establishing its popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A4 | Royal Paladin Factory New is a skin from CS2 that shows the skin in the Gunsmith style and the Royal Paladin finish. Patina and added custom paint combine for an eye-catching look. The very dark brown tint provides the primary color, and there are no changing pattern indexes that would change the appearance of the Royal Paladin finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Royal Paladin (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 407 (-13.12%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 292 (-37.67%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 360 (-23.15%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 836 (78.46%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players