M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New)

3.9 53 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.6
+6.31%
Last month
$ 10.43
+63.14%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 35.25
+35.11%
In a quarter
$ 23.75
-8.97%
Action
Decision:
✋ Hold
Confidence:
👎 Low
26% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
885 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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from $ 26.97
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from $ 29.36
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from $ 31.33
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Steam
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110 offers
from $ 35.89
CSGOEmpire
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from $ 52.08
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2 offers
from $ 59.69
Inspect skin
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning inspecting M4A4 | Sheet Lightning reloading M4A4 | Sheet Lightning holding M4A4 | Sheet Lightning pose-1 M4A4 | Sheet Lightning pose-2 M4A4 | Sheet Lightning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 26.95
  • 24h price change: 4.54%
  • 7 days low: $ 25.35
  • 7 days high: $ 586
  • 7 days price change: 6.31%
  • 30 days low: $ 16.52
  • 30 days high: $ 590
  • 30 days price change: 63.14%
  • 90 days low: $ 16.52
  • 90 days high: $ 590
  • Year low: $ 16.52
  • Year high: $ 4 500
  • All time low: $ 16.52
  • All time high: $ 4 500
  • All time max offers: 2153
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 33
  • Sales for last 7 days: 269
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1135
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3133
  • All time sales: 7356
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.00410914
  • Volatility: 23.96%
  • Liquidity: 23.63%
  • Decision: ✋ Hold
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 35.25
  • Price forecast change in a month: 35.11%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 23.75
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -8.97%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 27.31
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 27.88
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 28.25
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 28.25
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.04
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -2.21
-7.82%
Result
👎 Fail
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 33.37
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 33.37
September 16, 2025
Price
$ 21.69
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -11.68
-35.00%
Result
👎 Fail
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 26.69
Action
✋ Hold
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 27.31
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 34.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 29.01
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 27.88
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 28.25
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 28.25
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.04
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -2.21
-7.82%
Result
👎 Fail
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 27.13
Action
❌ Avoid
August 31, 2025
Price
$ 33.46
Action
❌ Avoid
September 8, 2025
Price
$ 33.37
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 33.37
September 16, 2025
Price
$ 34.82
Action
🔥 Buy
September 24, 2025
Price
$ 33.41
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 33.08
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 33.08
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 21.69
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -11.68
-35.00%
Result
👎 Fail
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 26.69
Action
✋ Hold
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -13.89
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 61.62
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
0
Fail count
2

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
26%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) boasts superior accuracy and controllability compared to other rifles, making it a preferred choice for Counter-Terrorists in CS2. Its sleek design features a striking sheet lightning pattern over a stylish charcoal and gold base, ensuring a blend of functionality and aesthetic appeal.

History

History

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning was first introduced to CS2 1 month ago, on March 31st, 2025, as part of the "Spring 2025 Skins" update. Since its release, it has become a popular choice among players for its sleek design and vibrant color scheme.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition was introduced as part of the CS2 Weapons Case, released in 2018. Players have a chance to obtain this skin by opening CS2 Weapons Cases or by trading with other players.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition is highly sought after among CS2 players, reflecting its desirability and appeal within the community. This popularity measurement is based on the skin's consistent demand in the market and its stable pricing trends.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning is one of 304 other Rifle skins in CS2. Its rarity is Classified, making it a highly sought-after drop with an estimated drop chance of 3.22%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $15.67 and $59.24, the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition is a moderately priced skin. Thankfully, it is readily accessible across various trading platforms, ensuring players have ample opportunities to acquire it for their CS:GO inventory.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning in Factory New condition features a clean and vibrant design with lightning bolts and clouds on a white background. It is sought after by collectors for its striking appearance and is available in all wear conditions from Minimal Wear to Battle-Scarred.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) in CS2 has garnered more than 100 user reviews on the Steam Community Market, resulting in an overall positive sentiment with an average rating of 4.5 out of 5 stars. Players appreciate its sleek design and clean finish, making it a popular choice among collectors and competitive gamers alike.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) features a sleek "Finish Style" design with a unique Sheet Lightning finish. The weapon showcases a dynamic blend of lightning-inspired patterns in shades of blue and silver, giving it a striking and electrifying appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 35.25 (35.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 23.75 (-8.97%). Confidence is low — it is advised to hold.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.