M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn)

3.9 53 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 0.14
+5.56%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.01
+7.89%
In a quarter
$ 1.99
-28.67%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
20% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
90 offers on 9 markets
Updated9 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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from $ 2.66
CS.DEALS
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1 offers
from $ 3.39
CSGO.COM
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4 offers
from $ 3.4
Steam
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48 offers
from $ 3.86
Avan.Market
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1 offers
from $ 3.9
White.Market
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13 offers
from $ 4.18
ShadowPay
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12 offers
from $ 4.3
Skinport
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2 offers
from $ 7.03
Waxpeer
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1 offers
from $ 7.32
Inspect skin
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | Sheet Lightning inspecting M4A4 | Sheet Lightning reloading M4A4 | Sheet Lightning holding M4A4 | Sheet Lightning pose-1 M4A4 | Sheet Lightning pose-2 M4A4 | Sheet Lightning pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.66
  • 7 days low: $ 2.66
  • 7 days high: $ 10.47
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.52
  • 30 days high: $ 33.93
  • 30 days price change: 5.56%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.52
  • 90 days high: $ 196
  • Year low: $ 2.52
  • Year high: $ 196
  • All time low: $ 2.52
  • All time high: $ 196
  • All time max offers: 321
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 16
  • Sales for last 7 days: 126
  • Sales for last 30 days: 473
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1300
  • All time sales: 3043
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.62
  • Volatility: 15.62%
  • Liquidity: 32.06%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.01
  • Price forecast change in a month: 7.89%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.99
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -28.67%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 5.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.82
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.72
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.97
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.96
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 5.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.82
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.07
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.9
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.5
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.72
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.76
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.72
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.16
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.32
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 3.03
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.97
Action
📉 Sell
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.01
Action
📉 Sell
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.38
Action
📉 Sell
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.3
Action
📉 Sell
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.96
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
20%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) is a reliable full-auto assault rifle favored by Counter-Terrorists for its accuracy and versatility. Its charcoal and gold base is adorned with a striking sheet lightning pattern that adds a touch of flair to its appearance.

History

History

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning was first introduced to CS2 1 month ago, on March 31st, 2025, as part of the "Spring 2025 Skins" update. Since its release, it has become a popular choice among players for its sleek design and vibrant color scheme.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) is a skin that cannot be acquired through case openings, but is instead part of The Operation Hydra Collection. It was introduced as part of the Operation Hydra update in CS:GO.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) boasts an impressive popularity rating of 85%, indicating a strong demand among CS2 players. This skin's popularity is determined by its consistent sales volume and stable market value within the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning is one of only 304 Rifle skins available in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. With its Restricted rarity, this skin is considered relatively rare, with an estimated drop chance of around 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

Priced between $4.94 and $18.32, the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) is a budget-friendly option for CS2 players. This skin is readily accessible across various markets, ensuring easy availability for interested buyers.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, giving it a worn appearance with visible wear and scratches. This version does not have StatTrak or Souvenir options, maintaining a consistent aesthetic across all available skins.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) in CS2 is reflected in its 4.2 out of 5-star rating based on 68 user reviews on addskins.gg. Players appreciate its unique design and overall performance in-game.

Finish style

Finish style

The M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) features a finish style that emulates the appearance of sheet lightning. The weapon is adorned with a striking design that resembles the erratic and jagged patterns of lightning strikes, creating a dynamic and electrifying visual effect. The skin is predominantly colored in shades of blue and white, enhancing the electrifying theme of the Sheet Lightning finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 3.01 (7.89%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.99 (-28.67%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.75
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.