M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 1743 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.37
+42.95%
Last month
$ 1.73
+61.13%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 4.58
+0.2188%
In a quarter
$ 3.75
-17.94%
In half a year
$ 4.28
-6.35%
In a year
$ 5.49
+20.13%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
👍 High
78% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
450 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
23 offers
from $ 4.36
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
19 offers
from $ 4.55
White.Market
White.Market
50 offers
from $ 4.55
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
138 offers
from $ 4.64
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
90 offers
from $ 5.17
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
42 offers
from $ 5.17
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 5.99
Steam
Steam
79 offers
from $ 6.87
Skinport
Skinport
7 offers
from $ 8.41
Inspect skin
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
M4A4 | Spider Lily inspecting M4A4 | Spider Lily reloading M4A4 | Spider Lily holding M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-1 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-2 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 4.56
  • 7 days low: $ 3.19
  • 7 days high: $ 30
  • 7 days price change: 42.95%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.83
  • 30 days high: $ 50
  • 30 days price change: 61.13%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.12
  • 90 days high: $ 50
  • Year low: $ 1.78
  • Year high: $ 423
  • All time low: $ 1.2
  • All time high: $ 423
  • All time max offers: 1519
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 93
  • Sales for last 7 days: 818
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3000
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6767
  • All time sales: 18486
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: -2.34
  • Volatility: 10.91%
  • Liquidity: 9.66%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 4.58
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.2188%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.75
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -17.94%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.28
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -6.35%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 5.49
  • Price forecast change in a year: 20.13%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.57
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 5.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.42
133.07%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.57
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.57
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.55
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.49
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.45
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.45
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.31
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.7
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.01
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 3.1
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.35
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 3.41
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.74
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.47
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 3.26
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 3
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.42
133.07%
Result
👍 Success
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.42
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.57
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
78%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
980 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
459 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
252 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.3
212%
From last month
449 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
374 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
18 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 040
165%
From last month
400 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.2
50%
From last month
4928 offers on 11 markets

Description

The M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) is an assured buddy to the Counter-Terrorists. It is an improvement in accuracy with no lost firepower. The custom paint job was a dark blue base color with striking red spider lilies above the magazine and trigger; it truly made for a colorful omen about how much danger was lying ahead.

History

History

First spotted on September 21st, 2021, the M4A4 | Spider Lily was included in the long-awaited Operation Riptide Case that finally saw the light of day in the world of CS2. Designed by the talented community designer Strenson, this beautiful skin started to be in high demand because of fancily designed spider web patterns and fine lily blossoms among gamers, though the appearance is battle-scarred.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Spider Lily has a well-worn look and can be pulled from an Operation Riptide Case. It is one of the higher-end items in the Operation Riptide Collection, lending a touch of realism and wear to the weapon.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, the popularity of M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) is 95%, and it is in extremely high demand. As its name suggests, it is highly popular due to more frequent sales and a relatively high price in the CS2 market, making it one of the most wanted skins among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Spider Lily is one of the most popular rifles among the 255 skins available in CS: GO. This skin is restricted and very rare; it is estimated by drop chance to be around 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Spider Lily has a float value in CS2 from 0.00 to 1.00, meaning that the skin is available in all possible exteriors, each bringing out the vibrant design in different conditions. Secondly, for every exterior, there is an associated StatTrak variant of the Spider Lily to let players count their kills with this beauty of a weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) received a lot of attention from the community, as more than 1.6K votes on addskins.gg resulted in an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is enhanced by the fact that this skin was owned by a very prominent professional CS2 player, s1mple, which further enhances its desirability among players.

Finish style

Finish style

M4A4 | Spider Lily - Battle-Scarred This is a Gunsmith finish featuring the Spider Lily design, enticingly crafted. A mix of patina with custom painting, this skin is a mesmerizing effect of red and blue hue that retains consistency across all pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) is expected grow to $ 4.58 (0.2188%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.75 (-17.94%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 4.28 (-6.35%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 5.49 (20.13%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players