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3 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The M4A4 | Spider Lily-Factory New is a well-crafted assault rifle and highly accurate, favored by many Counter-Terrorists. This beautifully crafted creation shows a sleek dark blue finish with vibrant red spider lilies, serving as a bold warning to enemies that danger comes this way.
Dropped in the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, with the release of the Operation Riptide Case during the "Operation Riptide" update, the M4A4 | Spider Lily is this beauty of skin carefully designed by the very talented community designer Strenson, therefore being a highly desired skin instantly.
M4A4 | Spider Lily is one of the beautiful skins opened from Operation Riptide Case, which contains so many exclusive items. This is one of the skins that joins the Operation Riptide Collection, which shows just how rare and highly desirable this skin is among CS: GO skins.
The Spider Lily of M4A4 occupied the status of being a highly popular skin, 95%, in CS2. Its high demand and value placed this as one of the coveted skins within the market, according to its daily sales volume and pricing.
The M4A4 | Spider Lily is one of the 255 other Rifle skins; it is moderately rare to get this CS2 skin. It holds Restricted rarity and is supposed to have a drop chance of 15.98%, making this gun moderately wanted.
The float range of the M4A4 | Spider Lily in Factory New condition lies between 0.00 and 1.00; thus, it allows any exterior variation of the skin for players to be acquired. StatTrak versions of Spider Lily are also available in each exterior option, which offers a kill tracking feature for kills made with this weapon.
M4A4 | Spider Lily enjoys some serious backing in the community since this skin has accumulated more than 1.6K votes on addskins.gg, having an average rating of 4.4 stars out of 5. Its popularity can be measured by the fact that it is owned by one of the most prominent professional CS2 players, s1mple.
Spider Lily Factory New, a Gunsmith variation in CS2's M4A4 skin series, weaves patina and custom painting together pretty appealingly. The skin's strikingly enthralling color scheme of red and blue does not change when using different pattern indexes, which can make every variation equally as appealing.
According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 103 (-23.3%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 82.27 (-38.74%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 106 (-21.07%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 237 (76.48%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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