M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested)

4.4 1676 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.45
+23.39%
Last month
$ 3.56
+87.04%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.92
-20.96%
In a quarter
$ 5.46
-27.1%
In half a year
$ 6.39
-14.69%
In a year
$ 10.04
+34.05%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
81% - Forecast accuracy
43% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
643 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A4 | Spider Lily inspecting M4A4 | Spider Lily reloading M4A4 | Spider Lily holding M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-1 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-2 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 7.65
  • 24h price change: 2.14%
  • 7 days low: $ 6.2
  • 7 days high: $ 198
  • 7 days price change: 23.39%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.09
  • 30 days high: $ 198
  • 30 days price change: 87.04%
  • 90 days low: $ 4.05
  • 90 days high: $ 198
  • Year low: $ 2.79
  • Year high: $ 716
  • All time low: $ 1.36
  • All time high: $ 716
  • All time max offers: 1230
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 193
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1440
  • Sales for last 30 days: 6177
  • Sales for last 90 days: 12324
  • All time sales: 34122
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.2943
  • Volatility: 8.26%
  • Liquidity: 9.05%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.92
  • Price forecast change in a month: -20.96%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.46
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -27.1%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 6.39
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -14.69%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 10.04
  • Price forecast change in a year: 34.05%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.32
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 7.34
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.02
69.91%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.32
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 4.32
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 3.78
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 3.92
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 4.03
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.03
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.18
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.32
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.33
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.82
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.25
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.96
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.79
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 4.58
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 4.7
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 4.09
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 7.34
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.02
69.91%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.02
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 4.32
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
81%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
43%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The M4A4 | Spider Lily is a pretty reliable choice for the Counter-Terrorists, who in this case have improved accuracy without sacrifices in firepower. The custom paint job consists of a dark blue base with striking red spider lilies adorning the magazine and trigger serving as a warning of the danger ahead. Bright colors serve as the warning signal, not an invitation for opponents.

History

History

The M4A4 | Spider Lily first showed up in the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, together with the Operation Riptide Case, which was released with the "Operation Riptide" update. The skin is an elaborately designed creation of the gifted community artist Strenson.

Origin

Origin

M4A4-S Spider Lily is battle-worn, but upon it is a detailed, intricate pattern of spider lilies. This can be acquired through the container reward listed within an Operation Riptide Case, which has several chances of dropping this particular skin. It is one of the exclusive items included in the Operation Riptide Collection, where military aesthetics meet the delicate elegance of spider lilies.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Spider Lily is the most in-demand skin in the CS2 community, with a popularity rating as high as 95%. It is reflected in its ever-high sales volume and high premium price it gives, hence, ranking it among the most wanted skins within the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Spider Lily is one of the other 255 rifle skins in CS2, holding a Restricted rarity. This skin has a relatively rare drop chance, ranking at 15.98%.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) in CS2 ranges between 0.15 and 0.38, so the skin looks a bit used, with minor scratches and wear. Second, for each exterior, there's the possibility to get the StatTrak version, enabling the tracking of kills with this chic skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M4A4 | Spider Lily enjoys enormous positive reception within the CS2 community, having more than 1.6K votes on addskins.gg. An impressive average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars was attained for the Spider Lily, while ownership by the renowned professional CS2 player s1mple underlines the popularity of this skin even more.

Finish style

Finish style

CS2 M4A4 | Spider Lily, Field-Tested, has a "Gunsmith" style with the hypnotic Spider Lily finish. Patina combined with custom paintwork gave this skin an fantastically engrossing look, and the color scheme of red and blue pulls your eyes toward it. Pattern indexes don't change the amazing Spider Lily design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 5.92 (-20.96%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 5.46 (-27.1%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 6.39 (-14.69%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 10.04 (34.05%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players