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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) is a sure drive for the Counter-Terrorists, with better accuracy at the expense of some damage compared to the AK-47. The custom paint job is done in dark blue and bright red spider lilies adorning the magazine and trigger. It serves as a colorful warning to enemies that the person they are about to face is a danger, not an invitation.
The M4A4 Spider Lily was unveiled in the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on September 21st, 2021, as part of the highly anticipated Operation Riptide Case. Created by the incredibly talented community designer Strenson, this well-worn skin instantly became popular with players because of the detailed design of a spider lily and the worn look.
This well-worn M4A4 | Spider Lily can be obtained by opening an Operation Riptide Case, which contains 17 community-designed weapon skins. The skin is part of the Operation Riptide Collection, which was first introduced in CS2 alongside the in-game event Operation Riptide.
Boasting a huge popularity of 95%, the M4A4 | Spider Lily has firmly made a place for itself in one of the most sought-after skins at the moment in CS2. Such massive demand says volumes about how good it's doing in the market. This is quite evident from its high sales volume almost every day and its premium price in the market.
There are currently 255 rifle skins in CS2. The M4A4 | Spider Lily has Restricted rarity, which places it somewhere in the middle of the pack. The estimated drop chance is 15.98%, further aiding its place of rarity for the skin, especially to collectors and players alike.
The float value of M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) in CS2 ranges from 0.38 to 0.45, meaning that it is slightly worn-out and has already enjoyed noticeable scratches and wear marks. In addition, for each exterior, there is a StatTrak available, enabling players to count their kills with this unique skin.
The M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) enjoys pretty high appreciation among the community members, as it reached over 1.6K votes on addskins.gg and an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars. Its popularity is underlined by the very fact that this skin is owned by the great professional CS2 player s1mple.
The M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) skin in CS2 features a "Gunsmith" style-a combination of patina with custom paintwork, making this gun truly remarkable and catchy. The skin has a bright red-to-blue color scheme, and pattern indexes do not change the stunning Spider Lily design.
According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Spider Lily (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 4.79 (-3.23%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 4.05 (-18.18%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 4.72 (-4.65%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 6.9 (39.39%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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