M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)

4.5 2567 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.43
+7.53%
Last month
$ 11.7
+134%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 19.88
-4.24%
In a quarter
$ 18.12
-12.72%
In half a year
$ 21.46
+3.37%
In a year
$ 42.86
+106.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
72% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
1422 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Tooth Fairy inspecting M4A4 | Tooth Fairy reloading M4A4 | Tooth Fairy holding M4A4 | Tooth Fairy pose-1 M4A4 | Tooth Fairy pose-2 M4A4 | Tooth Fairy pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 20.41
  • 24h price change: 6.14%
  • 7 days low: $ 18.98
  • 7 days high: $ 1 800
  • 7 days price change: 7.53%
  • 30 days low: $ 8.71
  • 30 days high: $ 3 288
  • 30 days price change: 134%
  • 90 days low: $ 8.71
  • 90 days high: $ 20 766
  • Year low: $ 6.74
  • Year high: $ 20 766
  • All time low: $ 5.41
  • All time high: $ 20 766
  • All time max offers: 2064
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 84
  • Sales for last 7 days: 762
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3152
  • Sales for last 90 days: 8371
  • All time sales: 22686
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 2, 2025
  • Risk: 2.03
  • Volatility: 11.92%
  • Liquidity: 8.39%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 19.88
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.24%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 18.12
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -12.72%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 21.46
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 3.37%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 42.86
  • Price forecast change in a year: 106.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 9.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.76
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 13.44
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.68
37.70%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 21.88
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.13
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 9.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 9.76
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 9.47
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 9.27
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 9.74
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 9.78
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 9.45
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.08
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 13.44
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.68
37.70%
Result
👍 Success
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 17.5
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 20.05
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 24.81
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 21.88
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 26.71
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 27.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 15.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 15.13
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 23.1
Action
🔥 Buy
November 2, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.68
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 24.89
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

The M4A4 | Tooth Fairy Factory New is a highly accurate assault rifle favored by Counter-Terrorists, featuring better accuracy compared to the AK-47. The sinistically designed skin of Tooth Fairy has teeth that give a really eerie look, thus creating an ambiance sending chills down your spine. This custom paint job acts as a reminiscent that not all teeth collected by the Tooth Fairy are those of innocents.

History

History

The M4A4 | Tooth Fairy first appeared in CS2 on August 6th, 2020, when it was revealed as one of the highly publicized skins within the Fracture Case. The skin proved to be a real showstopper; designed by the ingenious community designer 2Minds, it instantly became one of the hottest items for players because of its intriguing design and pristine Factory New condition.

Origin

Origin

A Factory New, M4A4 Tooth Fairy is pulled from the Fracture Case container, which holds twenty-four weapon skins in store. The skin falls under the high-demand Fracture Collection, that consists of visually appealing and spectacularly crafted skins launched in the Fracture Case.

Popularity

Popularity

M4A4 | Tooth Fairy Factory New enjoys monstrous popularity in the CS2 community, at 99%. When combining its rarity with being in pristine condition and aesthetic appeal, this skin has reached one of the most coveted items within the player community, hence one of the hottest-sought skins in-game. Popularity is based on the daily volume of sales of this particular skin in correlation with its consistent high price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Tooth Fairy is one of only 255 rifle skins and is truly a unique find within the CS2 community. Being of Classified rarity, this skin is ultra-rare, considering it has an estimated drop chance of just 3.2%.

Versions

Versions

Tooth Fairy is an M4A4 skin, and the float value ranges from 0.00 to 0.73. This means that a player can get this skin in every exterior, from pristine to slightly worn. Moreover, each exterior has a StatTrak variant for collectors that may want to track their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

That's the least: M4A4 | Tooth Fairy enjoyed love from the community with impressive 4.5 out of 5 star rating from over 2.5K votes at addskins.gg. Such popularity as an in-game skin was enough for it to appear in professional CS: GO - well-known players snax, dupreeh, and f0rest love playing with this Factory New skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The style of M4A4A | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) in CS2 is "Custom Paint Job", which manages to expose the Tooth Fairy finish. This finish enables a wide variety of bright colors while having the main color being this fancy red tint. The pattern indexes do not change anything in the way Tooth Fairy finish looks.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 19.88 (-4.24%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 18.12 (-12.72%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 21.46 (3.37%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 42.86 (106.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.73
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.