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2 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly first appeared in CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and immediately stole the spotlight of the players due to its unique design and autumn theme. It came into the game as one of the exciting releases courtesy of the "Operation Riptide" update, lending a fresh and stylish look to any player's arsenal.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly is a rare skin in CS2. It's not available for pull from any container, nor as a random drop. This skin is an exclusive part of 2021 Train Collection, hence so much sought after by collectors and players.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly has gained extreme popularity in the CS2 gaming community since it currently ranks among the top 15% of the most sought-after skins in the game. So, this high level of demand means an excellent daily sales volume and price, which makes it really desirable to many players.
The MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly is a relatively rare drop, present as one of 237 other SMG skins. At a rarity classification of Restricted, the Autumn Twilly has a moderate level of rarity; the drop chance is believed to be at about 15.98%.
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly is really one of the more budget-friendly options in CS2 because this skin costs from $1.58 to $4.43, accessible for many players. But this skin is also widely available in different markets, so a player can easily purchase it if he wants to because there are 226.6K units of Autumn Twilly now available in public CS2 inventories.
An MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly in Factory New floats from 0.00-0.58, which guarantees that it will pull in all of the pristine qualities of the skin. The skin, Autumn Twilly, cannot be a StatTrak or Souvenir version.
MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly received an excellent community sentiment, with an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, as voted by more than 497 community members on addskins.gg. Its popularity can also be further judged by the fact that this skin is in the ownership of a great professional CS2 player pashabiceps.
This MP5-SD boasts an elaborate "Hydrographic" finish, to which the Autumn Twilly pattern has been applied. By submerging carefully prepared weapon components into the water tank, the floating hydrographic film adheres to the primed surfaces, creating an intriguing pattern that differs depending on the pattern index. This gives the weapon a unique look and feel that catches the eye.
According to the forecast, the price of the MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 15.36 (3.57%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 15.76 (6.27%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 21.02 (41.74%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 45.29 (205.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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