MP9 | Music Box (Factory New)

4.7 2258 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.09
+0.51%
Last month
$ 1.64
+10.28%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 19.08
+5.3%
In a quarter
$ 18.64
+2.87%
In half a year
$ 19.72
+8.83%
In a year
$ 30.01
+65.62%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
130 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
MP9 | Music Box (Factory New)
Gallery
MP9 | Music Box inspecting MP9 | Music Box reloading MP9 | Music Box holding MP9 | Music Box pose-1 MP9 | Music Box pose-2 MP9 | Music Box pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 17.6
  • 7 days low: $ 17.51
  • 7 days high: $ 148
  • 7 days price change: 0.51%
  • 30 days low: $ 15.96
  • 30 days high: $ 192
  • 30 days price change: 10.28%
  • 90 days low: $ 15.96
  • 90 days high: $ 192
  • Year low: $ 14.18
  • Year high: $ 192
  • All time low: $ 10.78
  • All time high: $ 16 000
  • All time max offers: 288
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 19
  • Sales for last 30 days: 95
  • Sales for last 90 days: 230
  • All time sales: 606
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 1.39
  • Volatility: 15.57%
  • Liquidity: 7.56%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 19.08
  • Price forecast change in a month: 5.3%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 18.64
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 2.87%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 19.72
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 8.83%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 30.01
  • Price forecast change in a year: 65.62%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 16.99
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 18.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.14
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 16.99
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 18.67
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 18.14
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.14
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 17.74
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 17.74
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 17.31
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 18.96
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 18.1
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 18.92
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 20.26
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 19.91
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 19
Action
🔥 Buy
October 2, 2025
Price
$ 20.89
Action
🔥 Buy
October 10, 2025
Price
$ 20.64
Action
🔥 Buy
October 18, 2025
Price
$ 19.4
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 19.3
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 18.14
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The MP9 | Music Box, fabricated to perfection in Switzerland, is a cutting-edge SMG extremely popular amongst private security firms due to its ergonomic design. Its sleek, black polymer body is ornamented with an exquisite gold damask pattern, further emphasizing elegance and added capability.

History

History

Exactly one year ago today, September 21st, 2021, the MP9 | Music Box burst onto the CS2 scene, its design and melodic charm wooing players. It was released along with the Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package on the highly anticipated day of the "Operation Riptide" update, which went into memory as one of the most unforgettable moments in the game's history.

Origin

Origin

The MP9 | Music Box Factory New is a rare skin that can only be attained by opening any of the four containers containing it, namely: Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, and The 2021 Mirage Collection. It presents rarity to skins that give your MP9 a touch of class and elegance, thus making the weapon a major catch for collectors and players in general.

Popularity

Popularity

MP9 | Music Box is one of the most wanted in CS2 due to its popularity rating of 85%. As it falls into the top 15% of the most popular items, it has a really high daily sales volume and a premium price in the skin market.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP9 | Music Box is relatively common; it is ranked 238 out of 238 other SMG skins in a lot of games. The skin has a Mil-Spec Grade rarity with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, fairly common when it comes to CS2 gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The MP9 | Music Box Factory New is relatively affordable and can be purchased as low as $0.07 up to $9.70, thus being in reach of a player with any budget. It's available on many markets and can easily be accessed by someone willing to include it in their CS2 inventory since its current float amount is circa 191.5K units.

Versions

Versions

Float Value: The MP9 | Music Box, in Factory New condition, has a float value range from 0.00 to 0.55. It makes it possible for players to get this skin with any pattern of exterior variation. Moreover, each of these exterior options is also offered in a Souvenir variation for collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

MP9 | Music Box has also received fantastic community love, which is reflected in more than 2.1K votes on addskins.gg, giving it a fantastic average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. The skin has even received followings among professional players of CS2, with guardian, olofmeister, and qikert all owning it.

Finish style

Finish style

This Factory New MP9 | Music Box features a stunning "Anodized Multicolored" finish applied in a mesmerizing multicolored candy coat. The base color of this skin is a delightful brown hue, while the overall look of the weapon is determined by the pattern index, therefore each one of them is special and unique.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 19.08 (5.3%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 18.64 (2.87%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 19.72 (8.83%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 30.01 (65.62%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.55
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.