MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear)

4.7 2250 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.02
+6.21%
Last month
$ 3.68
+26.72%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 16.53
-5.27%
In a quarter
$ 16.79
-3.78%
In half a year
$ 18.06
+3.5%
In a year
$ 24.66
+41.32%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
72% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
139 offers on 9 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Inspect skin
MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
MP9 | Music Box inspecting MP9 | Music Box reloading MP9 | Music Box holding MP9 | Music Box pose-1 MP9 | Music Box pose-2 MP9 | Music Box pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 17.45
  • 24h price change: 0.93%
  • 7 days low: $ 16.43
  • 7 days high: $ 35.95
  • 7 days price change: 6.21%
  • 30 days low: $ 13.77
  • 30 days high: $ 192
  • 30 days price change: 26.72%
  • 90 days low: $ 13.77
  • 90 days high: $ 192
  • Year low: $ 13.65
  • Year high: $ 3 244
  • All time low: $ 10.17
  • All time high: $ 3 244
  • All time max offers: 259
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 27
  • Sales for last 30 days: 101
  • Sales for last 90 days: 195
  • All time sales: 525
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 1.69
  • Volatility: 14.06%
  • Liquidity: 6.87%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 16.53
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.27%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 16.79
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -3.78%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 18.06
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 3.5%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 24.66
  • Price forecast change in a year: 41.32%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 18.14
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 18.54
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.54
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 19.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.35
7.28%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 19.96
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 14.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 14.99
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 18.14
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 18.54
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 18.54
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 17.88
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 15.44
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 14.3
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 16.68
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 15.92
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 16.58
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 14.47
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 16.6
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 17.53
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 16.35
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 19.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.35
7.28%
Result
👍 Success
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 19.96
Action
❌ Avoid
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 14.99
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 14.99
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 17.88
Action
🔥 Buy
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.35
$ 19.98 - avg*
Invested***
$ 33.53
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
58% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
44% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1811
3118
2515
9859
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/120
  • Damage: 26
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 857
  • Movement speed: 240
  • Kill reward: $ 600
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

Crafted with precision in Switzerland, the MP9 | Music Box-Minimal Wear is a state-of-the-art SMG highly coveted by elite security forces. Its slender polymer frame gets coated with an exquisite gold damask pattern, adding some elegance to the gruesome killer instinct of this famed SMG.

History

History

The MP9 | Music Box-Minimal Wear arrived in CS2 on September 21st, 2021. This skin for an MP9 is an attractive CS2 part of the Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package and was released on the same day as the long-awaited "Operation Riptide" update, when a harmonious marriage of musical design and tactical firepower joined the game.

Origin

Origin

MP9 | Music Box-Minimal Wear is one of the most bizarre skins, which may only drop when opening either Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, or The 2021 Mirage Collection. Because of its cool design and minimal wear, the item was among the hot targets of many CS2 players.

Popularity

Popularity

The MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) is one of the most popular and currently occupies a spot among the top 15% skins, according to the daily sales volume and skin value in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) is one of the 237 available SMG skins in CS2. This particular skin comes from a Mil-Spec Grade, which means it is relatively common; the drop chance is estimated at 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The MP9 | Music Box Minimal Wear is rather cheap because its price fluctuates around $0.07-$9.70. Its ease of access is very high since it is widely available on different markets, and now there is a quite big amount of units-about 191.5K in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value of the MP9 | Music Box Minimal Wear is between 0.00 and 0.55, making this skin widely available. And in each exterior version, there's also a Souvenir version of the Music Box, which made it more popular with collectors.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The MP9 | Music Box received very positive community sentiment with over 2.1K votes on addsink.com, along with an impressive average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars. Ownership from famous professional CS2 players like guardian, olofmeister, and qikert underlines its popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

The Music Box finish on this MP9 bears the Anodized Multicolored style. In this style, multicolored candy coat is applied in a pattern by silk-screening or adherable stencils. The dominant color of this skin is rich brown tint. Overall, the look of the Music Box finish would depend on its pattern index.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 16.53 (-5.27%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 16.79 (-3.78%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 18.06 (3.5%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 24.66 (41.32%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.55
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.