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5 minutes ago
The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.
Born into the virtual world of CS2 on September 21st, 2021, the M249 | Humidor entered the game as a highly sought-after skin in the Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package at the time of its release, if not at a more thrilling time, when the "Operation Riptide" update got launched; all of a sudden, this addition brings class and maturity to the set of arms within the game.
The Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) was added to CS2 via a number of Mirage Souvenir Packages, such as the Antwerp 2022, Paris 2023, and Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package containers. It also forms part of The 2021 Mirage Collection, making it one of the most desirable skins in the game.
The Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) is a popular skin among Counter-Strike players, given its high popularity rating at 75%. Consequently, within the top 25% by the number of sales of all CS2 in-game items, it was included when ranking daily volume and average price.
The Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) is a part of the 43 other machinegun skins existing in CS2. It is of Mil-Spec Grade, making it relatively common. This weapon skin has a drop chance of 79.92%.
The Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) skin is relatively cheap, with its price starting at $0.04 and peaking at $9.54. It is also easily available since it is listed on many markets, which makes it easy for players to get. Moreover, there is a large supply of 188.8K units of the Humidor in public CS2 inventories.
The float value in CS2 for Souvenir M249 | Humidor ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, which means the skin can be dropped in all exteriors. Moreover, each of the Humidor's skins has a corresponding Souvenir variant, which significantly expands the range of options for collectors.
The community sentiment towards the Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) in CS2 is overwhelmingly positive, with a high average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars based on 771 votes on addskins.gg. Its popularity is further highlighted by its ownership by renowned professional players olofmeister and vexite, adding to its desirability among the community.
This Factory New Souvenir M249 | Humidor has an intricately designed "Spray-Paint" style, with a coat of paint applied in careful stencil patterns. The Humidor finish makes the weapon look even better, and the pattern index added on really gives it an interesting touch.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 0.254 (-33.11%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.165 (-56.63%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.158 (-58.47%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.207 (-45.45%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.
Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.
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