Pistol
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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The M249 | Humidor first appeared in CS2 on September 21st, 2021. This skin was given on release with the "Operation Riptide" update; players instantly fell in love with this well-worn yet intricate skin that was part of the Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package.
The Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Well-Worn) skin can be obtained through unboxing one of the four containers that contain the skin, which are the Antwerp 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, Paris 2023 Mirage Souvenir Package, Rio 2022 Mirage Souvenir Package, and The 2021 Mirage Collection container. Opening any of these containers gives players a chance to obtain the realistic and worn M249 | Humidor skin for use in CS2.
The M249 | Humidor (Well-Worn) enjoys 75% popularity, ranking among the top 25 percent of the most popular items in CS2. This skin's popularity is a result of its consistently high sales volume on a daily basis and because it is usually quite reasonably priced in the market of skins.
The Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Well-Worn) has a total of 43 other machinegun skins in CS2. This skin is relativly rare and is one of the Mil-Spec Grade skins, meaning it has a rather high drop chance of 79.92%.
The Souvenir M249 | Humidor skin is one of the most available skins in Counter-Strike: GO with the price ranging from $0.04 to $9.54 for Well-Worn. It has been highly sold due to the availability on various markets, and already 188.8K units of the given skin were stored in public CS2 inventories.
The float value of the Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Well-Worn) ranges from 0.00 to 0.50, ensuring that this skin is available in all levels of wear. Additionally, for each level of wear, there exists a corresponding Souvenir version of the Humidor, which lets collectors get a unique well-worn souvenir skin.
Community Sentiment: In general, people's sentiments are positive about the Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Well-Worn). This can be confirmed by its extremely high rating of 4.6 out of 5-star rating on addskins.gg with a total of 771 votes. Furthermore, ownership by the two most celebrated professional CS2 players, olofmeister and vexite, says it all.
This CS2 souvenir M249 | Humidor (Well-Worn) has a "Spray-Paint" style, done very carefully, in a pattern achieved by the work with stencils. Multiple layers of spray paint give this weapon a well-worn look. The pattern index adds originality to the general view of this Humidor finish.
According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 0.161 (-5.53%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 0.105 (-38.41%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 0.13 (-23.47%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 0.16 (-6.12%). Confidence is high — it is advised to sell.




Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.