Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear)

5.0 4814 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 24
+17.27%
Last month
$ 24
+17.27%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 144
+1.42%
In a quarter
$ 158
+11.28%
In half a year
$ 187
+31.71%
In a year
$ 303
+113.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
67% - Forecast accuracy
67% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
72 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard inspecting M4A4 | Radiation Hazard reloading M4A4 | Radiation Hazard holding M4A4 | Radiation Hazard pose-1 M4A4 | Radiation Hazard pose-2 M4A4 | Radiation Hazard pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 163
  • 24h price change: 17.27%
  • 7 days low: $ 139
  • 7 days high: $ 750
  • 7 days price change: 17.27%
  • 30 days low: $ 139
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 17.27%
  • 90 days low: $ 131
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 97.29
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 94.26
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 81
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 5
  • Sales for last 90 days: 13
  • All time sales: 56
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 7.89
  • Volatility: 6.8%
  • Liquidity: 6.98%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 144
  • Price forecast change in a month: 1.42%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 158
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 11.28%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 187
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 31.71%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 303
  • Price forecast change in a year: 113.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 135
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 135
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 135
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 135
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 150
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 163
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 157
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 160
Action
🔥 Buy
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 159
Action
🔥 Buy
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 159
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 155
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 157
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 143
Action
🔥 Buy
October 3, 2025
Price
$ 156
Action
🔥 Buy
October 11, 2025
Price
$ 160
Action
🔥 Buy
October 19, 2025
Price
$ 165
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 146
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 135
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
67%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) is a tried-and-true assault rifle that is favored by CTs for its accuracy far surpassing that of an AK-47. This assault rifle has a sleek design painted with a spray pattern of radiological warning hazard symbols, adding just a touch of caution into its looks.

History

History

The M4A4 | Radiation Hazard appeared on August 14th, 2013, first in the CS2 community as part of a souvenir package called Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package. Due to its energetic radioactive design, it immediately became so popular among players and thus hit the CS2 market of skins.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) skin in CS2 is a rare item that can be acquired by opening one of the eight containers that contain it, such as the Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package, and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. Additionally, this skin is part of The Nuke Collection, adding to its exclusivity and desirability among players.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) is in high demand by CS2 players. It boasts an 85% popularity rating, which places it in the higher echelons of the most desirable items in the game, based on its daily sales volume and market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) has a total of 255 other Rifle skins in the game CS2. It belongs to the Mil-Spec Grade and is pretty common, which gives it a drop chance of about 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The prices for Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard Minimal Wear for CS2 skins range from $13.17, a relatively reasonable price, to $1,040.27, a more extreme one. Despite the fact that it's not very expensive, this item is in demand because it's widely available in lots of markets. For example, now there are 23.4K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float range of the Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) in CS2 lies between 0.06 and 0.80, which is why this skin can be obtained in any exterior. Besides, there are Souvenir versions for each exterior, so collectors can get this popular skin in almost all possible ways.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) has a very positive community sentiment, with more than 4.7K votes on addskins.gg, reaching a perfect average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars. This skin is also popular among professional CS2 players, as it is owned by the likes of fallen, niko, and byali.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A4 has a Spray-Paint style with the finish called Radiation Hazard, a skin featuring several layers of spray paint through stencil patterns. The dominating red tint gives this weapon an extreme look and makes it very striking. On top of that, each pattern index adds uniqueness to the general look of the skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) is expected grow to $ 144 (1.42%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 158 (11.28%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 187 (31.71%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 303 (113.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players