Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn)

5.0 4744 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 24.13
+50.74%
Last month
$ 34.3
+91.74%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 53.78
+13.08%
In a quarter
$ 56.12
+18.0%
In half a year
$ 60.89
+28.03%
In a year
$ 98.8
+108.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
84% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
13 offers on 7 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
2 offers
from $ 71.69
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
2 offers
from $ 73.54
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
1 offers
from $ 90.38
Steam
Steam
4 offers
from $ 92.52
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
1 offers
from $ 99.05
White.Market
White.Market
2 offers
from $ 99.05
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
1 offers
from $ 99.05
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | Radiation Hazard inspecting M4A4 | Radiation Hazard reloading M4A4 | Radiation Hazard holding M4A4 | Radiation Hazard pose-1 M4A4 | Radiation Hazard pose-2 M4A4 | Radiation Hazard pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 71.69
  • 24h price change: 50.74%
  • 7 days low: $ 47.56
  • 7 days high: $ 186
  • 7 days price change: 50.74%
  • 30 days low: $ 37.39
  • 30 days high: $ 188
  • 30 days price change: 91.74%
  • 90 days low: $ 32.99
  • 90 days high: $ 189
  • Year low: $ 30.26
  • Year high: $ 18 900
  • All time low: $ 25.35
  • All time high: $ 18 900
  • All time max offers: 25
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 7
  • Sales for last 30 days: 16
  • Sales for last 90 days: 30
  • All time sales: 71
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 2.25
  • Volatility: 12.97%
  • Liquidity: 5.26%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 53.78
  • Price forecast change in a month: 13.08%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 56.12
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 18.0%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 60.89
  • Price forecast change in half a year: 28.03%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 98.8
  • Price forecast change in a year: 108.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 45.79
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 45.79
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 68.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 23.1
50.44%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 57.68
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 57.68
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 45.79
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 45.79
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 40.82
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 43.73
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 42.25
Action
🔥 Buy
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 42.25
Action
🔥 Buy
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 43.91
Action
🔥 Buy
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 68.89
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 23.1
50.44%
Result
👍 Success
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 57.68
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 57.68
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 48.57
Action
🔥 Buy
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 61.36
Action
🔥 Buy
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 62.07
Action
🔥 Buy
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 61.97
Action
🔥 Buy
September 28, 2025
Price
$ 59.28
Action
🔥 Buy
October 6, 2025
Price
$ 52.1
Action
🔥 Buy
October 16, 2025
Price
$ 50.6
Action
🔥 Buy
October 24, 2025
Price
$ 50.23
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 71.8
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 23.1
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 103
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
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In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

The M4A4 | Radiation Hazard has been battle-worn from a long use as an assault rifle. It features improved accuracy but slightly reduced firepower, making it the favorite for Counter-Terrorists over its AK-47 counterpart. Its surface is detailed with carefully spray-painted patterns resembling radiological warning hazards.

History

History

The M4A4 | Radiation Hazard was issued in the August 14, 2013 release, and became part of the Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package within Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. This colorful skin very quickly became a highly-desired skin by many within the game due to its unique looks and association with the "Arms Deal" update itself.

Origin

Origin

This Well-Worn The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard can be obtained by opening one of 8 containers for which it is rewards. Some of them are Atlanta 2017 Nuke Souvenir Package, Boston 2018 Nuke Souvenir Package and Cologne 2016 Nuke Souvenir Package. It is part of The Nuke Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) is one of the most popular skins within the CS2 game, with a popularity of 85%, putting it within the top 15% of the rarest and most wanted skins. This ranking is based on the analysis of the skin's daily volume of sales and its market value.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) is among the 255 other rifle skins in CS2. It falls into the category of Mil-Spec Grade rarity, making it fairly common with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) is a relatively affordable skin, with prices ranging from $13.17 to $1,040.27. It is widely available on various markets, making it easily accessible for players. Additionally, there is a significant number of 23.4K units of the Radiation Hazard skin currently in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) exists in all of the skins in CS2, and the float values range from 0.06 to 0.80, making this skin a truly diverse selection for collectors. In addition, every one of these skins has its own souvenir version, allowing players to obtain this skin in their preferred condition.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) in CS2 is very positive, as stated by its high average rating of 5.0 out of 5 stars with over 4.7K votes on addskins.gg. It has also gained recognition among professional CS2 players like fallen, niko, and byali, which further cements its appeal and desirability.

Finish style

Finish style

This worn-out Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard has a "Spray-Paint" style with its multiple coats of spray paint applied through stencil patterns. The dominant red tint adds intensity to the primary color of the skin, while the unique pattern index contributes to the distinct appearance of the Radiation Hazard finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 53.78 (13.08%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 56.12 (18.0%). Further ahead, it is pojected to increase to $ 60.89 (28.03%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 98.8 (108.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players