Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn)

4.9 634061 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 2.19
+54.07%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.51
-12.12%
In a quarter
$ 3.02
-51.83%
In half a year
$ 4.24
-32.38%
In a year
$ 4.59
-26.79%
Action
Decision:
📉 Sell
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
31% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
62 offers on 7 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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from $ 6.24
White.Market
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12 offers
from $ 6.74
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
5 offers
from $ 7.88
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
8 offers
from $ 8.16
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
5 offers
from $ 8.23
Steam
Steam
15 offers
from $ 8.63
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
5 offers
from $ 9.1
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | Red DDPAT inspecting M4A4 | Red DDPAT reloading M4A4 | Red DDPAT holding M4A4 | Red DDPAT pose-1 M4A4 | Red DDPAT pose-2 M4A4 | Red DDPAT pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 6.24
  • 7 days low: $ 6.24
  • 7 days high: $ 39.55
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 4.05
  • 30 days high: $ 39.55
  • 30 days price change: 54.07%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.38
  • 90 days high: $ 59.5
  • Year low: $ 3.36
  • Year high: $ 2 394
  • All time low: $ 3.36
  • All time high: $ 2 394
  • All time max offers: 116
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 32
  • Sales for last 30 days: 113
  • Sales for last 90 days: 255
  • All time sales: 644
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: -2.38
  • Volatility: 16.47%
  • Liquidity: 10.15%
  • Decision: 📉 Sell
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.51
  • Price forecast change in a month: -12.12%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.02
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -51.83%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 4.24
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -32.38%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 4.59
  • Price forecast change in a year: -26.79%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 6.68
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.68
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.62
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -2.06
-30.84%
Result
👎 Fail
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.31
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 4.26
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.68
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 6.68
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 4.89
Action
🔥 Buy
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 5
Action
🔥 Buy
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 4.62
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ -2.06
-30.84%
Result
👎 Fail
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 4.31
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.38
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 4.11
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 3.62
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 4.26
Action
📉 Sell
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 3.86
Action
📉 Sell
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 4.69
Action
📉 Sell
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.19
Action
📉 Sell
October 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.08
Action
📉 Sell
October 9, 2025
Price
$ 4.66
Action
📉 Sell
October 17, 2025
Price
$ 4.62
Action
📉 Sell
October 25, 2025
Price
$ 4.62
Action
📉 Sell
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 5.45
Action
📉 Sell
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.45
Action
📉 Sell
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ -2.06
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 6.68
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
18
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
0
Fail count
1

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 18 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
31%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) is a real consistent go-to for the Counter-Terrorists, offering better accuracy while still holding its own in firepower. This has been given a red Digital Disruptive Pattern hydrographic paint job for a stealthy accent so as to camouflage until the gun sounds.

History

History

The Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) was added to CS2 on September 21st, 2021, and became one of its many weapon skins. The skin was included in the Rio 2022 Dust II Souvenir Package, released together with the "Operation Riptide" update, which allowed players to get this battle-worn version of the famous M4A4 rifle.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) skin was made as a souvenir for Antwerp 2022, Rio 2022, and Stockholm 2021 CS2 tournaments. It can be obtained by opening the respective Dust II Souvenir Packages from these events. Moreover, the skin is part of the exclusive 2021 Dust 2 Collection, adding to its rarity and desirability among collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

The M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) has gained phenomenal traction and is rated for an astounding 90% popularity, placing it among the most sought-after items within the CS2 world. Demand can be shown through its very considerable volume of sales each day and the high value of its price in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

Out of the 255 rifle skins available in CS2, the M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) stands as one of them. With a rarity level of Restricted, this skin is considered quite rare, with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The well-worn version of the Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT skin costs within a range of $2.98-$115.29, hence fairly affordable to buyers. Besides, this skin is highly available because a buyer can get it from any of multiple markets. Additionally, there are 40.8K units in public CS2 inventories, which means it shouldn't be hard for any collector or enthusiast to get their hands on it.

Versions

Versions

This CS2 skin, Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn), features a float value of 0.38-0.45 for a bit worn appearance, never to affect the whole concept. As the souvenir version of this skin is available in all interiors, it allows players to get battle-scarred, field-tested, minimal wear, or factory new versions of this skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) enjoys an extremely positive view within the community due to its average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars based on 634 votes at addskins.gg. Even more so, it is one of the skins that pros like krystal, nifty, and sdy use, making it all the more in demand by the CS2 community.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn souvenir M4A4 is painted with a hydrographic pattern of red DDPAT, where parts of the gun are dipped in a water tank with a floating film that creates a patterned surface once the items emerge from the water. The skin is mostly reddish in color, and its pattern intensity varies with its pattern index, making it rather unique and weathered.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 5.51 (-12.12%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 3.02 (-51.83%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 4.24 (-32.38%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely drop to $ 4.59 (-26.79%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to sell.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.5
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players