Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New)

4.4 8137 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 274
0%
Last month
$ 83
+43.46%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 189
0.0%
In a quarter
$ 244
0.0%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
Inspect skin
Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Urban DDPAT inspecting M4A4 | Urban DDPAT reloading M4A4 | Urban DDPAT holding M4A4 | Urban DDPAT pose-1 M4A4 | Urban DDPAT pose-2 M4A4 | Urban DDPAT pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 274
  • 7 days low: $ 0
  • 7 days high: $ 0
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 191
  • 30 days high: $ 293
  • 30 days price change: 43.46%
  • 90 days low: $ 190
  • 90 days high: $ 300
  • Year low: $ 139
  • Year high: $ 416
  • All time low: $ 125
  • All time high: $ 2 000
  • All time max offers: 8
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3
  • All time sales: 10
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 8, 2025
  • Risk: -0.65
  • Volatility: 9.79%
  • Liquidity: 1.6%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 189
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.0%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 244
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 0.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 211
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 211
Action
❌ Avoid
July 2, 2025
Price
$ 227
Action
❌ Avoid
July 10, 2025
Price
$ 232
Action
❌ Avoid
July 18, 2025
Price
$ 250
Action
❌ Avoid
July 26, 2025
Price
$ 250
Action
❌ Avoid
August 3, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
❌ Avoid
August 11, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
❌ Avoid
August 19, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
❌ Avoid
August 27, 2025
Price
$ 190
Action
❌ Avoid
September 4, 2025
Price
$ 298
Action
❌ Avoid
September 12, 2025
Price
$ 297
Action
❌ Avoid
September 20, 2025
Price
$ 199
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 192
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 274
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 274
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 274
Action
❌ Avoid
November 2, 2025
Price
$ 274
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 274
Action
❌ Avoid
November 6, 2025
Price
$ 274
Action
❌ Avoid
November 8, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
19
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 19 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
969 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
628 offers on 9 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
7 offers on 5 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
231 offers on 9 markets
$ 72.06
211%
From last month
433 offers on 9 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
359 offers on 9 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
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Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
18 offers on 6 markets
4.5 2217
In half a year -61%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Battle-Scarred
4.5 2336
In a year 31%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Factory New
$ 1 030
165%
From last month
390 offers on 9 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.22
50%
From last month
3659 offers on 10 markets

Description

The Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) is a highly accurate assault rifle favored by Counter-Terrorists. It grants better accuracy than the AK-47. Sleek and smooth, this assault rifle features a Digital Disruptive Pattern (DDPAT) hydrographic that will seamlessly blend into urban environments and catch opponents off guard with its pixel-perfect camouflage.

History

History

The M4A4 | Urban DDPAT was added to CS2 on November 27th, 2013, during the release of the Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package. The skin's sleek, urban style attracted many and soon it was a desirable item for many in-game players due to its impeccable Factory New quality.

Origin

Origin

Since its release, the M4A4 | Urban DDPAT has been one of the staples within the CS2 community for its clean design and distinctive urban camouflage pattern. Over the years, this skin has grown in popularity and is a sign of skill and prestige among players. Its Factory New condition became a rarity, as wear and tear took their toll on most of the available skins.

Popularity

Popularity

Today, the Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) is one of the most sought-after items in the CS2 market. Rich history and low supply have made it a prized possession for collectors and enthusiasts alike, reminding them of how the game used to be and how that skin became a legend.

Rarity

Rarity

The Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) skin in CS2 can be acquired by opening one of the 10 containers that contain this skin, such as the Atlanta 2017 Train Souvenir Package, Berlin 2019 Train Souvenir Package, and Boston 2018 Train Souvenir Package. Additionally, this skin is part of The Train Collection, offering players a chance to add it to their inventory.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) has been popular among the CS2 community as it is now within the top 15% of the most sought-after skins within the game. Such a demand owes to its huge volume in sales every day and its moderately higher price in the market.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) has a total of 255 other rifle skins in several CS2. Being of Industrial Grade rarity, this Souvenir skin is very common and easily accessible to all the players, almost throughout the gameplay.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

M4A4 | Urban DDPAT belongs to the rarest and highly demanded skin in CS2 and allows the player to use options between as low as $0.13 and the premium is $126.91. This popular skin is pretty accessible since it is found in plenty across various markets, hence is very accessible to players. In total, there are currently 2.7 million units of this skin floating in the public CS2 inventories, making the Urban DDPAT a common and accessible skin to many players.

Finish style

Finish style

The Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) is available in all exteriors in CS2. The float values range between 0.06 and 0.80, meaning that in every condition, there can be a souvenir variant. Then there is also a Souvenir version for every exterior in the Urban DDPAT, so in this skin, collectors have a lot of choices to complete it.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir M4A4 | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 189 (0.0%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 244 (0.0%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.