Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn)

4.6 10786 reviews
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Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 18.6
+0.4862%
In a quarter
$ 18.34
-0.92%
In half a year
$ 18.15
-1.94%
In a year
$ 37.47
+102.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
50% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
10 offers on 2 markets
Updated15 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Steam
Steam
7 offers
from $ 17.27
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
3 offers
from $ 44.72
Inspect skin
Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn)
Gallery
XM1014 | Blue Spruce inspecting XM1014 | Blue Spruce reloading XM1014 | Blue Spruce holding XM1014 | Blue Spruce pose-1 XM1014 | Blue Spruce pose-2 XM1014 | Blue Spruce pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 17.27
  • 7 days low: $ 17.27
  • 7 days high: $ 72.01
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 17.27
  • 30 days high: $ 72.32
  • 30 days price change: 0%
  • 90 days low: $ 17.27
  • 90 days high: $ 97.33
  • Year low: $ 14.31
  • Year high: $ 118
  • All time low: $ 14.31
  • All time high: $ 118
  • All time max offers: 12
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 0
  • Sales for last 30 days: 0
  • Sales for last 90 days: 0
  • All time sales: 2
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 4.15
  • Volatility: 9.5%
  • Liquidity: 2.41%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 18.6
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.4862%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 18.34
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -0.92%
  • Price forecast in half a year: $ 18.15
  • Price forecast change in half a year: -1.94%
  • Price forecast in a year: $ 37.47
  • Price forecast change in a year: 102.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 31.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 31.13
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 31.13
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 31.13
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 31.43
Action
🔥 Buy
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 31.12
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 30.6
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 30.6
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 30.2
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.54
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 18.87
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 19.02
Action
🔥 Buy
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 19.27
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 19.06
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 19.06
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 18.76
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.83
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 18.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 18.81
Action
🔥 Buy
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 45.12
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 18.82
Action
🔥 Buy
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 44.75
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 31.13
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
19
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 19 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
50%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
1310
2217
1714
7056
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 7/32
  • Damage: 20
  • Spread: 38.0
  • Rate of fire: 171
  • Movement speed: 215
  • Kill reward: $ 900
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 3.11
109%
From last month
46 offers on 9 markets
4.6 10638
In a year 156%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Field-Tested
$ 16.32
42%
From last month
45 offers on 8 markets
4.6 10631
In half a year -56%
XM1014 | Blue Spruce
Consumer Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Spruce
Minimal Wear
$ 38.42
61%
From last month
13 offers on 3 markets
4.5 7414
In a year 202%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Field-Tested
4.5 7537
In a month -39%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Minimal Wear
4.5 7502
In a year 167%
XM1014 | Blue Steel
Industrial Grade
Souvenir
XM1014
Blue Steel
Well-Worn
$ 0.05
150%
From last month
259 offers on 8 markets
$ 0.07
40%
From last month
308 offers on 8 markets

Description

The Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) is a powerful, fully automatic shotgun that justifies its high price with the speed at which it can deliver lethal pellets. The arms are painted in solid colors using a hydrographic technique. This is a moss-inspired color scheme that adds a touch of natural elegance to this piece.

History

History

The XM1014 | Blue Spruce first appeared in CS2 on November 27th, 2013, when it was released as part of the highly expected EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package. A big update that changed the course for the players when they welcomed this new skin for the weapon, adding freshness to their arsenal.

Origin

Origin

The Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) was a rare item that came in an opened package from either the DreamHack 2013 Souvenir Package or EMS One 2014 Souvenir Package container. It's also part of The Lake Collection, further making it extra special and sought after by collectors.

Popularity

Popularity

Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce is a highly sought-after skin in CS2, featuring 75% popularity and positioning itself within the top 25% of the most sought-after items. The demand is justified by a permanently high volume of sales and the price due to its rarity and attractive appearance.

Rarity

Rarity

The XM1014 | Blue Spruce is one of 134 other Shotgun skins, placing it in the middle of the pack in terms of availability. With a rarity classification of Industrial Grade, the Blue Spruce is still relatively common and can be encountered frequently during gameplay.

Availability

Availability

The Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) is the cheapest skin, with prices starting at $0.01 and going up to $11.02. It's very easy to get and available in many places. Moreover, there's a huge amount of circa 6.5 million units of the Blue Spruce skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) for CS2 has the skin in all of its exteriors, with float values ranging from 0.06 to 0.80, making it well-worn for any condition. Secondly, for every exterior, there is a Souvenir version of the Blue Spruce, so for collectors, there is also the opportunity to get a well-worn Souvenir version of the skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) for CS2 enjoys a very positive community sentiment, given that it received more than 10.6K votes on addskins.gg with an average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars. This skin is quite popular among both the CS2 community and professional players since famous players like fnx, happy, and nbk- have owned it.

Finish style

Finish style

This well-worn Souvenir XM1014 has been painted with a "Solid Color" style, using a bright cyan tint. The weapon was then hand-painted using up to four unique colors per component, resulting in a striking effect. The pattern indexes aren't changed by the specific Blue Spruce finish, hence all variations of this skin have the same appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the Souvenir XM1014 | Blue Spruce (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 18.6 (0.4862%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 18.34 (-0.92%). Further ahead, it is pojected to fall to $ 18.15 (-1.94%) in half a year. Then, in a calendar year, it will likely rise to $ 37.47 (102.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.41
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players