StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New)

4.8 2072 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.2
+11.23%
Last month
$ 1.2
+11.23%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 11.37
+0.8%
In a quarter
$ 19.86
+76.06%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
75% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
61 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
9 offers
from $ 11.89
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
7 offers
from $ 12.59
White.Market
White.Market
4 offers
from $ 12.88
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 12.96
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
3 offers
from $ 14.14
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
8 offers
from $ 14.62
Bitskins
Bitskins
3 offers
from $ 18.22
Steam
Steam
18 offers
from $ 18.52
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
4 offers
from $ 18.63
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
1 offers
from $ 34.5
Inspect skin
StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New)
Gallery
M249 | Nebula Crusader inspecting M249 | Nebula Crusader reloading M249 | Nebula Crusader holding M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-1 M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-2 M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 11.89
  • 24h price change: 11.23%
  • 7 days low: $ 10.69
  • 7 days high: $ 120
  • 7 days price change: 11.23%
  • 30 days low: $ 10.69
  • 30 days high: $ 122
  • 30 days price change: 11.23%
  • 90 days low: $ 9.62
  • 90 days high: $ 124
  • Year low: $ 8.64
  • Year high: $ 205
  • All time low: $ 8.64
  • All time high: $ 205
  • All time max offers: 80
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 2
  • Sales for last 7 days: 12
  • Sales for last 30 days: 59
  • Sales for last 90 days: 148
  • All time sales: 444
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.52
  • Volatility: 15.06%
  • Liquidity: 28.06%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 11.37
  • Price forecast change in a month: 0.8%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 19.86
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 76.06%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 10.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 12.33
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.62
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.66
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 14.08
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.42
20.75%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 12.9
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.9
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 10.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.43
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 12.27
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 12.53
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 12.33
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.62
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.87
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.66
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 11.66
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 12.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 12.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 12.99
Action
🔥 Buy
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 12.99
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 14.11
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 14.08
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 2.42
20.75%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 12.9
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 12.9
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 11.28
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 2.42
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 24.56
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
75%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2419
4032
3225
126101
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 100/200
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 195
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last month
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M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
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$ 29.94
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From last month
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M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
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Well-Worn
$ 13.74
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From last month
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98%
From last month
61 offers on 8 markets
$ 6.99
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From last month
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M249 | Deep Relief
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Battle-Scarred

Description

History

History

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader was added to the Counter-Strike: Global Offensive community on September 17th, 2015, and came from the Shadow Case. This beautiful skin is one of the creations of a very skilled community designer known as "Zaphk." It gained great demand due to its nebula-themed design and because it used StatTrak technology, which allowed users to trace the number of kills made with that particular gun.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader Factory New is a rare skin in CS2 and is obtainable by opening the Shadow Case container. It is also among the highly wanted items from The Shadow Collection for having an intricate design in perfectly new condition.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) is a highly popular skin, holding an 85% popularity rating. This puts it among the top 15% of the most desired skins in CS2, as determined by the skin's daily sales volume and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) is one of 43 other Machinegun skins existing in CS2. It features a Restricted rarity classification, which in turn means that it's a pretty rare skin. Its drop chance is about 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) is an affordable skin with prices starting from $0.68 to $8.73. It is available today in many markets and thus easy for CS2 players to access. As a matter of fact, there are 291.1K units of the Nebula Crusader in public CS2 inventories, which means that there's enough supply for anyone interested in buying.

Versions

Versions

The M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) has all exterior types in CS2 and ranges in float value from 0.00 to 1.00. For each of the exterior variants, there is a corresponding StatTrak version that will let players track their kills with this skin in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiments of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader of CS2 is very positive, and from a high number of votes in addskins.gg, it takes an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. Its popularity further gets validation from ownership between popular and highly esteemed players like bondik, shroud, and ub1que.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader Factory New features a "Gunsmith" finish with a perfect patina added along with custom paint styles, which gives it an appealing look, the same for all pattern indexes since it provides full view for the Nebula Crusader finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 11.37 (0.8%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 19.86 (76.06%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

All machinegun