StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)

4.8 2138 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.47
+35.59%
Last month
$ 2.1
+60%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.31
-5.18%
In a quarter
$ 5.82
+3.93%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
0% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
52 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Active offers
Price
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from $ 5.99
White.Market
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from $ 5.99
ShadowPay
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5 offers
from $ 6.16
Steam
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31 offers
from $ 6.94
CSGO.COM
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1 offers
from $ 14.4
Inspect skin
StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M249 | Nebula Crusader inspecting M249 | Nebula Crusader reloading M249 | Nebula Crusader holding M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-1 M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-2 M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 5.6
  • 24h price change: 0.3584%
  • 7 days low: $ 4.13
  • 7 days high: $ 261
  • 7 days price change: 35.59%
  • 30 days low: $ 3.5
  • 30 days high: $ 263
  • 30 days price change: 60%
  • 90 days low: $ 3.5
  • 90 days high: $ 264
  • Year low: $ 3.5
  • Year high: $ 264
  • All time low: $ 3.5
  • All time high: $ 264
  • All time max offers: 80
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 54
  • Sales for last 30 days: 164
  • Sales for last 90 days: 364
  • All time sales: 1085
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.0772
  • Volatility: 21.06%
  • Liquidity: 28.78%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.31
  • Price forecast change in a month: -5.18%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 5.82
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.93%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 4.8
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.3
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.65
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.3
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.91
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 5.52
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.68
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 4.8
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.26
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.3
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 4.65
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.04
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.07
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.62
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.3
Action
✋ Hold
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 4.91
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 5.13
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 5.11
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 5.04
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 4.92
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.52
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 4.68
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 5.58
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
0%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2419
4032
3225
126101
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 100/200
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 195
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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M249 | Deep Relief
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Description

History

History

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader hit the CS2 community on September 17th, 2015, when it dropped into the game as part of the Shadow Case during the "Shadow Boxing" update. It was crafted by the accomplished community designer "Zaphk." For its intricate and artistic design in nebula patterns, it rapidly gained popularity within the game and became very demanded among collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader skin in Minimal Wear is obtainable by unboxing a container called the Shadow Case: players who are lucky might just get this unique skin added to their collection. In addition, it is the notable member of The Shadow Collection, a set of skins that boast intricate designs in vibrant colors.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) is one of the most popular skins within the CS2 community, with an astonishing popularity rating of 85%. For that fact, it is in the top 15% of the most wanted items, considering its volume of sales and its market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) is one of the only 43 other Machinegun skins existing in CS2. Being classified as a skin of Restricted rarity, this skin is quite rare. It has an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak is considered to be a cheap skin. Its price ranges from $0.68 to $8.73, which makes it easily accessible. It is available on many markets and is very easy to get. Moreover, there are 291.1K units of the Nebula Crusader skin in public CS2 inventories, which is a pretty high amount.

Versions

Versions

Accordingly, in all the possible conditions (Factory New to Battle-Scared), this CS2 skin of M249 Nebula Crusader ranges from 0.00 to 1.00 of float value, hence has a StatTrak in every condition that may occur, adding more to its tracking and rarity value of the weapon.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The M249 | Nebula Crusader (StatTrak Minimal Wear) has collected more than 2K votes in the community with an average rating of 4.8 stars out of 5 on addskins.gg. Regarding its usage in professional scenes, this skin is used by popular players like bondik, shroud, and ub1que.

Finish style

Finish style

Gunsmith has prepared the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) featuring a nice blend of patina with custom paint methods. Due to the variability in the pattern indexes of "Nebula Crusader," it looks very sharp and exclusive.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 5.31 (-5.18%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 5.82 (3.93%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

All machinegun