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The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.
The price forecast of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.
*avg | Sitewide average across all skins
**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg
****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss
Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) was added to CS2 for the very first time on September 17th, 2015, when the Shadow Case update was released. Immediately, this striking design of the community artist "Zaphk" won the hearts of many players who loved this skin for its vibrant nebula pattern and an additional element of StatTrak technology, counting the kills made by this weapon.
The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is a rare skin that can be obtained either by opening a Shadow Case container, which contains numerous different weapon skins, or through purchase from the Steam marketplace. This particular skin also belongs to The Shadow Collection, a collection of unique and desirable skins for various CS2 weapons.
The M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is extremely sought after, as its popularity rating stands at 85 percent, situating it within the top 15 percent of highly sought-after CS2 skins, in respect of its sales volume on any given day, and average sales price.
The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is one of the 43 other Machinegun skins that are available in CS2. Its rarity class is Restricted, so it falls under the generally rare group of skins with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.
The price of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) skin will be in a range from $0.68 to $8.73, which is pretty cheap. It is also highly available because it can be spotted on different markets. Due to that, this skin is pretty easy to get for any player. Moreover, 291.1K units of the Nebula Crusader skin are available in public CS2 inventories at this moment.
The Nebula Crusader of the StatTrak M249 - Well-Worn in CS2 has its float values between 0.38 and 0.45, which signifies that this version of the gun is relatively well-worn, meaning there is apparent wear and tear. This well-worn edition also includes a StatTrak technology with which players can track all kills with skins in exterior versions like Field-Tested, Minimal Wear, Factory New, among others.
The community sentiment on StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) for CS2 is positive, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars, according to more than 2K votes at addskins.gg. The ownership of popular professional CS2 players like bondik, shroud, and ub1que further fuels the skin's popularity.
The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) has a Gunsmith-inspired finish with a mesmerizing marriage of patina and bespoke paint styles. Whatever the pattern index, the finish is always Nebula Crusader- meaning that appearance will be stunning.
According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 3.06 (50.74%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.16 (6.4%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.