StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn)

4.8 2012 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.02
+1%
Last month
$ 0.02
+1%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 3.06
+50.74%
In a quarter
$ 2.16
+6.4%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
17% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
126 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Avan.Market
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from $ 2.93
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from $ 3.05
White.Market
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13 offers
from $ 3.05
ShadowPay
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12 offers
from $ 3.17
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
11 offers
from $ 3.19
Inspect skin
StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M249 | Nebula Crusader inspecting M249 | Nebula Crusader reloading M249 | Nebula Crusader holding M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-1 M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-2 M249 | Nebula Crusader pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.03
  • 24h price change: 0.495%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.01
  • 7 days high: $ 11.51
  • 7 days price change: 1%
  • 30 days low: $ 2.01
  • 30 days high: $ 11.62
  • 30 days price change: 1%
  • 90 days low: $ 2.01
  • 90 days high: $ 11.62
  • Year low: $ 1.72
  • Year high: $ 15
  • All time low: $ 1.72
  • All time high: $ 15
  • All time max offers: 162
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 24
  • Sales for last 30 days: 130
  • Sales for last 90 days: 283
  • All time sales: 843
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 5, 2025
  • Risk: 0.3804
  • Volatility: 19.77%
  • Liquidity: 19.79%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 3.06
  • Price forecast change in a month: 50.74%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.16
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 6.4%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 3.23
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 3.23
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.89
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.94
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.55
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.3
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.54
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.88
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 3.06
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 2.67
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.7
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 2.45
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.35
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.34
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.43
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.34
Action
❌ Avoid
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 2.01
Action
❌ Avoid
November 5, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2419
4032
3225
126101
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 100/200
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 195
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

History

History

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) was added to CS2 for the very first time on September 17th, 2015, when the Shadow Case update was released. Immediately, this striking design of the community artist "Zaphk" won the hearts of many players who loved this skin for its vibrant nebula pattern and an additional element of StatTrak technology, counting the kills made by this weapon.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is a rare skin that can be obtained either by opening a Shadow Case container, which contains numerous different weapon skins, or through purchase from the Steam marketplace. This particular skin also belongs to The Shadow Collection, a collection of unique and desirable skins for various CS2 weapons.

Popularity

Popularity

The M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is extremely sought after, as its popularity rating stands at 85 percent, situating it within the top 15 percent of highly sought-after CS2 skins, in respect of its sales volume on any given day, and average sales price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is one of the 43 other Machinegun skins that are available in CS2. Its rarity class is Restricted, so it falls under the generally rare group of skins with an estimated drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) skin will be in a range from $0.68 to $8.73, which is pretty cheap. It is also highly available because it can be spotted on different markets. Due to that, this skin is pretty easy to get for any player. Moreover, 291.1K units of the Nebula Crusader skin are available in public CS2 inventories at this moment.

Versions

Versions

The Nebula Crusader of the StatTrak M249 - Well-Worn in CS2 has its float values between 0.38 and 0.45, which signifies that this version of the gun is relatively well-worn, meaning there is apparent wear and tear. This well-worn edition also includes a StatTrak technology with which players can track all kills with skins in exterior versions like Field-Tested, Minimal Wear, Factory New, among others.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment on StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) for CS2 is positive, with an average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars, according to more than 2K votes at addskins.gg. The ownership of popular professional CS2 players like bondik, shroud, and ub1que further fuels the skin's popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) has a Gunsmith-inspired finish with a mesmerizing marriage of patina and bespoke paint styles. Whatever the pattern index, the finish is always Nebula Crusader- meaning that appearance will be stunning.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) is expected grow to $ 3.06 (50.74%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.16 (6.4%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.41
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

All machinegun