StatTrak M249 | System Lock (Factory New)

4.4 7308 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.23
+13.07%
Last month
$ 0.36
+22.09%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.15
+7.5%
In a quarter
$ 2.42
+21.0%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
84% - Forecast accuracy
75% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
173 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M249 | System Lock (Factory New)
Gallery
M249 | System Lock inspecting M249 | System Lock reloading M249 | System Lock holding M249 | System Lock pose-1 M249 | System Lock pose-2 M249 | System Lock pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.99
  • 7 days low: $ 1.76
  • 7 days high: $ 16.85
  • 7 days price change: 13.07%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.63
  • 30 days high: $ 27.99
  • 30 days price change: 22.09%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.63
  • 90 days high: $ 27.99
  • Year low: $ 1
  • Year high: $ 2 999
  • All time low: $ 1
  • All time high: $ 2 999
  • All time max offers: 179
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 9
  • Sales for last 7 days: 57
  • Sales for last 30 days: 229
  • Sales for last 90 days: 460
  • All time sales: 1423
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.6
  • Volatility: 22.18%
  • Liquidity: 18.7%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.15
  • Price forecast change in a month: 7.5%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.42
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 21.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M249 | System Lock (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.73
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.69
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.76
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.24
13.64%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.98
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.63
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.63
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.73
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.72
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.7
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.69
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.66
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1.88
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1.76
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.76
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 2
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.24
13.64%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.98
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.63
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 1.63
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.76
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.24
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 3.39
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
84%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
75%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2419
4032
3225
126101
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 100/200
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 195
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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From last month
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In a quarter -35%
M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
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M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Minimal Wear
$ 29.94
40%
From last month
10 offers on 5 markets
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M249 | Blizzard Marbleized
Industrial Grade
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M249
Blizzard Marbleized
Well-Worn
$ 13.74
86%
From last month
24 offers on 7 markets
$ 2.3
98%
From last month
60 offers on 8 markets
$ 6.99
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From last month
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From last month
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M249 | Deep Relief
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
M249
Deep Relief
Battle-Scarred

Description

The StatTrak M249 | System Lock (Factory New) is a reliable light machine gun that excels in open areas, offering players a balance between accuracy and a substantial ammo capacity. Its custom sci-fi design adds a touch of style to the battlefield, making it a visually appealing choice for those who value both form and function.

History

History

The M249 | System Lock was added to CS2 on January 8th, 2015, when it was released as part of the Chroma Case during the "Full Spectrum" update. This striking design, created by the talented community designer "Nextgenz," quickly gained popularity among players for its intricate detailing and unique StatTrak feature.

Origin

Origin

The M249 | System Lock - a very rare skin - could be obtained through opening the Chroma Case container. Now is the time to add this unique design to your arsenal. The skin belongs to the Chroma Collection, which includes all the slick and modern CS2 skins.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M249 | System Lock is a very popular skin among the CS2 community. Ranking in the top 25% of skins in popularity, this item is also a pretty wanted item amongst the community with a desirability percentage of 75%.

Rarity

Rarity

The M249 | System Lock (Factory New) is a CS2 skin for Machinegun, and it is one of the 43 skins for this particular weapon. The rarity of the skin is Mil-Spec Grade which makes it a relatively frequent drop, and the approximate drop chance is 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The M249 | System Lock (Factory New) is a pretty cheap skin. It costs from $0.08 to $1.52, which is easily available because it can be found on many markets, and there are about 555.9K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The M249 | System Lock (Factory New) has a float value range from 0.00 to 0.80 and is available in all exterior skins in CS2. For each exterior variant, a StatTrak version is also available to let the player track their kills with this skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Overly positive would be the Community sentiment towards StatTrak M249 | System Lock(Factory New), considering the huge percentage - an average rate is 4.4 of 5 possible stars on addskins.gg in excess over 7.2k votes. Another testimony is its popularity since ownership consists of famous pro CS2 players- happy, aizy, chrisj.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M249 | System Lock (Factory New) has a "Custom Paint Job" style that allows for a range of personalized appearances in different, bright colors. With a dominant red tint, the finish on System Lock is independent of the pattern index and will always be this way - bold and eye-catching.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M249 | System Lock (Factory New) is expected grow to $ 2.15 (7.5%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.42 (21.0%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All machinegun