StatTrak M249 | Warbird (Factory New)

4.6 1615 reviews
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Latest price change
Last month
$ 2.73
+47.48%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 5.95
-29.83%
In a quarter
$ 10.41
+22.76%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
67% - Forecast accuracy
0% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
19 offers on 4 markets
Updated5 minutes ago
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1 offers
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Waxpeer
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1 offers
from $ 18.32
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 18.32
Inspect skin
StatTrak M249 | Warbird (Factory New)
Gallery
M249 | Warbird inspecting M249 | Warbird reloading M249 | Warbird holding M249 | Warbird pose-1 M249 | Warbird pose-2 M249 | Warbird pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 8.48
  • 7 days low: $ 8.48
  • 7 days high: $ 18.32
  • 7 days price change: 0%
  • 30 days low: $ 5.75
  • 30 days high: $ 18.32
  • 30 days price change: 47.48%
  • 90 days low: $ 5.25
  • 90 days high: $ 26.3
  • Year low: $ 2.79
  • Year high: $ 26.3
  • All time low: $ 2.79
  • All time high: $ 26.3
  • All time max offers: 26
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 3
  • Sales for last 30 days: 15
  • Sales for last 90 days: 43
  • All time sales: 109
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 4, 2025
  • Risk: 0.1553
  • Volatility: 8.66%
  • Liquidity: 17.8%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 5.95
  • Price forecast change in a month: -29.83%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 10.41
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 22.76%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M249 | Warbird (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.79
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.24
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.25
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.25
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.25
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.51
9.63%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.75
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 8.7
Action
✋ Hold
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.24
56.35%
Result
👍 Success
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.99
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.79
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 5.24
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 5.24
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 5.25
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 5.25
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.25
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.25
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.25
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.51
9.63%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 5.75
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
🔥 Buy
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 5.75
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.7
Action
✋ Hold
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.99
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 3.24
56.35%
Result
👍 Success
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.99
Action
❌ Avoid
November 4, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.75
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 10.99
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
17
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 17 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
67%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
0%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2419
4032
3225
126101
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Terrorists, Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 100/200
  • Damage: 32
  • Spread: 2.0
  • Rate of fire: 750
  • Movement speed: 195
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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M249 | Deep Relief
Mil-Spec Grade
Normal
M249
Deep Relief
Battle-Scarred

Description

The battle-proven StatTrak M249 | Warbird is a battlefield LMG for holding open areas, offering precision with an impressive ammo capacity. Once bright blue, time and combat have bleached this skin to a ghostly gray. Its yellow heat shield tells the story of this gun's extensive service, and it's high time it was retired.

History

History

StatTrak M249 | Warbird was dropped into the CS2 community on November 18th, 2019, during the "Operation Shattered Web" update while releasing the Shattered Web Case. With this skin, multi-talented community designer "MultiH" really succeeded in catching a great number of eyes with a skin design that was made using really complex details about the warbird taken out from the future.

Origin

Origin

The Factory New StatTrak M249 | Warbird is an extremely rare and highly sought-after skin. It can be unboxed from the Case container named Shattered Web, giving a chance to this exact design to join your arsenal. This is a really detailed skin with bright colors, hence it's highly valued from The Shattered Web Collection, showing the great skill and precision of its creator.

Popularity

Popularity

The Factory New StatTrak M249 | Warbird is in high demand by the players of CS2, and it is rated as high as 85% popularity. It is believed to be within the top 15% of most wanted skins in-game, judging by constant volume skin sales every day and its relatively high market price.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M249 | Warbird (Factory New) is one of 43 other Machinegun skins available in CS2. Being a Mil-Spec Grade skin, this item has a rather common drop and is estimated to have a drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

This skin, StatTrak M249 | Warbird (Factory New), for CS2 costs from $0.45 up to $3.13, so it is pretty affordable. It is available for purchase on various markets and can easily be found by any player who wants to have such a skin in his collection. Moreover, there are 199.4 K units of the Warbird skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Float value of the M249 | Warbird skin in CS2: the minimal wear is 0.05, while the well-worn state is 0.65, which allows the skin to be found in all possible states of exterior appearance. Moreover, for every exterior version, a StatTrak variant is available, which will enable the player to track his kills with this unique skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the StatTrak M249 | Warbird (Factory New) for CS2 is extremely positive, with an average rating of 4.6 out of 5 stars, with over 1.5K votes on addskins.gg. Its ownership by professional CS2 players like rubino and k0nfig further cements its high popularity.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M249 | Warbird has a Gunsmith style where patina mixed with an application of custom paint develops a truly unique finish to the skin. The pattern of the skin is filled with gray, and its Warbird does not change with pattern indexes.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M249 | Warbird (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 5.95 (-29.83%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 10.41 (22.76%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.65
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players

All machinegun