StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)

3.6 10313 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 16.31
+21.78%
Last month
$ 16.31
+21.78%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 83.38
-9.51%
In a quarter
$ 211
+129.0%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
100% - Forecast accuracy
100% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
176 offers on 10 markets
Updated2 minutes ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Desert-Strike inspecting M4A4 | Desert-Strike reloading M4A4 | Desert-Strike holding M4A4 | Desert-Strike pose-1 M4A4 | Desert-Strike pose-2 M4A4 | Desert-Strike pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 91.18
  • 7 days low: $ 74.87
  • 7 days high: $ 958
  • 7 days price change: 21.78%
  • 30 days low: $ 74.87
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 21.78%
  • 90 days low: $ 45.55
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 22.64
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 22.64
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 247
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 0
  • Sales for last 7 days: 26
  • Sales for last 30 days: 87
  • Sales for last 90 days: 184
  • All time sales: 471
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 2.47
  • Volatility: 15.35%
  • Liquidity: 20.48%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 83.38
  • Price forecast change in a month: -9.51%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 211
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 129.0%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 42.95
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 41.7
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 41.7
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 93.46
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 51.76
124.12%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 132
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 114
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 42.95
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 41.7
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 41.7
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 44.01
Action
🔥 Buy
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 45.32
Action
🔥 Buy
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 47.89
Action
🔥 Buy
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 49.16
Action
🔥 Buy
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 53.65
Action
🔥 Buy
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 93.46
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 51.76
124.12%
Result
👍 Success
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 132
Action
✋ Hold
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 114
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 113
Action
🔥 Buy
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 94.38
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 117
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 92.01
Action
🔥 Buy
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 92.3
Action
🔥 Buy
October 27, 2025
Price
$ 92.3
Action
🔥 Buy
October 28, 2025
Price
$ 88.58
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 88.58
Action
🔥 Buy
October 31, 2025
Price
$ 91.97
Action
🔥 Buy
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 51.76
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 155
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
20
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 20 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
100%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
100%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) is a pretty good choice in the hands of Counter-Terrorists: it is more accurate but causes a little less damage compared with the AK-47. This fully automatic assault rifle looks sleek in tan and black high-tech design.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike features an intricate desert camouflage pattern and sleek design, joining virtual battlefields in CS2 on May 1st, 2014. It was one of the highly sought-after items included in the Huntsman Weapon Case, which was released concurrently with "The Hunt Begins" update, wherein players were thrilled with both the unique aesthetics and tracked kills. Such perfect skin was brought to us by the ingenious community designer "Nextgenz," demonstrating the collaborative and really creative work one can observe in the CS2 community.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) skin was shown to the CS2 community in the Huntsman Weapon Case container's release. The skin comes from "The Huntsman Collection, an ultra-rare drop list. This rare drop increases a degree of exclusive status the already highly valued Factory New will gain.

Popularity

Popularity

Currently, the StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) enjoys an enviable 90% in popularity in the CS2 community. For such high-rolling popularity, if not for the underlying high demand judged by its daily sales volume and the premium price this skin pulls in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) is one of the 255 rifle skins in CS2, but its rarity makes it very unique. Being of Covert rarity, this skin happens to be a super rare drop and is estimated at only 0.64% chance.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) for CS2 costs from $2.75 to $26.56, which makes this skin rather easily accessible for the majority of players. At the moment, this item is perfectly accessible because it was traded on very many markets; there is an item supply of roughly 114K units available in the general public inventory of CS2.

Versions

Versions

The float value range of StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike is from 0.00 to 0.70, featuring all exterior variants in CS2. For each of the factory variants, a StatTrak version would also be available, which shall enable precise kill tracking.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community opinions regarding the StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) in CS2 are mixed, leaning a bit more toward favorable reviews. It has an average rating of 3.6 out of 5 stars with over 10.2K votes on addskins.gg. Furthermore, the skin is highly respected among professional players like flusha, fallen, and happy, who have all decided to own it.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) features a "Custom Paint Job" style that allows a wide array of personalized aesthetics, which are showcased through its Desert-Strike finish. This skin features a sleek color scheme of black and gray. Whatever pattern indexes are applied, the skin manages to keep its distinctive look.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 83.38 (-9.51%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 211 (129.0%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.7
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class