StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn)

4.6 7765 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.3
+28.04%
Last month
$ 0.32
+30.48%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.12
-18.25%
In a quarter
$ 1.13
-17.52%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
611 offers on 8 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn)
Gallery
M4A4 | Etch Lord inspecting M4A4 | Etch Lord reloading M4A4 | Etch Lord holding M4A4 | Etch Lord pose-1 M4A4 | Etch Lord pose-2 M4A4 | Etch Lord pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 1.37
  • 7 days low: $ 1.07
  • 7 days high: $ 7.67
  • 7 days price change: 28.04%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.05
  • 30 days high: $ 9.48
  • 30 days price change: 30.48%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.01
  • 90 days high: $ 34.58
  • Year low: $ 1.01
  • Year high: $ 257
  • All time low: $ 1.01
  • All time high: $ 257
  • All time max offers: 2014
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 110
  • Sales for last 7 days: 910
  • Sales for last 30 days: 3100
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6998
  • All time sales: 18936
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: -0.8
  • Volatility: 8.57%
  • Liquidity: 25.7%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.12
  • Price forecast change in a month: -18.25%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 1.13
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -17.52%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.37
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.29
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.14
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1.19
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.36
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 1.37
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.29
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.3
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.14
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.14
Action
📉 Sell
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.16
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.24
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
📉 Sell
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 1.22
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 1.25
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 1.26
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 1.16
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.1
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.19
Action
✋ Hold
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.19
Action
✋ Hold
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 1.36
Action
❌ Avoid
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
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Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) is a battle-scarred version of the iconic CT assault rifle, featuring a custom paint job that gives it a unique etched appearance. Despite its worn condition, its StatTrak technology allows players to track their kills with precision, making it a sought-after weapon in the CS:GO arsenal.

History

History

The M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) skin made its debut in CS2 approximately 11 months ago, on February 6th, 2024, as part of the Kilowatt Case during "The First Actual CS2 Skins" update. This intricately designed skin was crafted by the talented community artist known as "HEWOK".

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) can be acquired by opening a StatTrak Kilowatt Case container in CS2. This skin is a part of the StatTrak Kilowatt Collection, offering players a unique and battle-worn aesthetic for their M4A4 weapon.

Popularity

Popularity

With a popularity of 85%, the StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord in Well-Worn condition is highly sought after, reflecting its desirability among CS2 players. Its popularity is attributed to its unique design, rarity, and consistent performance in-game, making it a coveted item in the CS2 community.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord is one of 276 Rifle skins available in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive. Being classified as Restricted, this makes the StatTrak version of the Etch Lord a relatively rare drop with an estimated chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) is priced between $5.00 and $15.00, making it a moderately priced skin for CS2 enthusiasts. It is readily accessible on various trading platforms and can be easily acquired by interested players.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak version of the Well-Worn M4A4 | Etch Lord in CS2 has a float value that falls between 0.38 and 0.45, providing a worn appearance with visible scratches and blemishes. This variant is available in all exteriors, offering players the option to track their kills with the distinctive Etch Lord skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) has garnered significant community attention with more than 10,000 votes on addskins, earning an impressive average rating of 4.8 out of 5 stars. This skin has become a popular choice among renowned CS2 professionals such as s1mple, device, and coldzera.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) features a unique finish style known as "Etch Lord," characterized by intricate etchings and detailing across the weapon's surface. The finish combines elements of dark tones and intricate patterns, giving the M4A4 a distinct and imposing appearance.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Etch Lord (Well-Worn) is expected fall down to $ 1.12 (-18.25%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 1.13 (-17.52%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

1.0
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.