StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)

4.1 6905 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 4.61
+27.54%
Last month
$ 7.58
+55.05%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 17.41
-20.61%
In a quarter
$ 29.13
+32.83%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
79% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
399 offers on 10 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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from $ 21.35
White.Market
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from $ 21.82
Avan.Market
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25 offers
from $ 21.87
ShadowPay
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62 offers
from $ 22.42
Waxpeer
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26 offers
from $ 22.92
Skinport
Skinport
30 offers
from $ 23.2
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
33 offers
from $ 24.11
Bitskins
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5 offers
from $ 26.99
Steam
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73 offers
from $ 30.47
CSGOEmpire
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10 offers
from $ 37.39
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo inspecting M4A4 | Evil Daimyo reloading M4A4 | Evil Daimyo holding M4A4 | Evil Daimyo pose-1 M4A4 | Evil Daimyo pose-2 M4A4 | Evil Daimyo pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 21.35
  • 24h price change: 11.31%
  • 7 days low: $ 16.74
  • 7 days high: $ 1 285
  • 7 days price change: 27.54%
  • 30 days low: $ 13.77
  • 30 days high: $ 1 293
  • 30 days price change: 55.05%
  • 90 days low: $ 13.77
  • 90 days high: $ 1 293
  • Year low: $ 11.11
  • Year high: $ 2 848
  • All time low: $ 11.11
  • All time high: $ 2 848
  • All time max offers: 423
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 16
  • Sales for last 7 days: 110
  • Sales for last 30 days: 487
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1149
  • All time sales: 3164
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4907
  • Volatility: 12.48%
  • Liquidity: 27.17%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 17.41
  • Price forecast change in a month: -20.61%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 29.13
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 32.83%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 16.81
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 16.15
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.65
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 25.5
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 21.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.11
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 22.77
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.66
7.86%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 22.72
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price
$ 16.81
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 15.18
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 15.03
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 16.19
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 16.15
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 15.65
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 16.39
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 17.32
Action
❌ Avoid
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 17.57
Action
❌ Avoid
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 25.29
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 25.5
Action
✋ Hold
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 21.11
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 21.11
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 22.16
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 18.43
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 22.77
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.66
7.86%
Result
👍 Success
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 22.72
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 1.66
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 21.11
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
79%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

The M4A4 | Evil Daimyo is a popular and reliable assault rifle due to its high accuracy provided for the Counter-Terrorists. It has precise shots but slightly less damage compared to the AK-47. This assault rifle is in factory new condition and sports an appealing red and black custom paint job, with Carmen, a legendary figure from "The Oni and The Valkyrie Part 1," striking in captivating design.

History

History

The M4A4 | Evil Daimyo first appeared on the virtual battlefields of CS2 on May 26th, 2015, as a highly sought-after skin from the Falchion Case. Crafted by the incredibly talented community designer known as "The Honey Badger," this Factory New skin quickly became popular among players for its intricate detailing and menacing aesthetic.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) is one of the highly sought-after skins in CS2, considering it has an amazing and detailed design along with being brand new. This skin is only obtainable through the opening of the container Falchion Case for a chance to receive various skins from The Falchion Collection, which contains this very rare and valuable variation of M4A4.

Popularity

Popularity

In the community of CS2, Factory New StatTrak M4A4 Evil Daimyo has one of the highest popularity ratings among the skins, which goes as high as 95%, because its extreme popularity ranking is supported by consistently very high daily sales volume, also paired with a high value, making it one of the most wanted items within the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) is one of 255 other rifle skins existing in CS2. Given its rarity classification as Restricted, the skin is considered quite rare and is estimated to be dropped with a chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak M4A4 Evil Daimyo skin is considered to be rather cheap; its price ranges from $0.98 to $11.79, which allows different types of budgets to be included. This popular skin is in very high supply due to the fact that it's available on many different markets, and there are 923.9K units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

Due to the fact that in CS2, StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo can have a float value from 0.00 to 0.52, it means that a player can get this skin in every exterior. What is more, the version with StatTrak gives a chance for each type of exterior to enjoy and track this skin on its own.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment for the StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) is generally positive, with 4.1 out of 5 stars based on over 6.9K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, the popularity of this skin was underlined by professional players owning and using it-flamie, chrisj, and bondik.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) in CS2 has a "Custom Paint Job" style that enables heavy customization in many colors. The prevailing color of this skin is an appealing red tint. The pattern indexes don't change the striking Evil Daimyo finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Evil Daimyo (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 17.41 (-20.61%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 29.13 (32.83%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.52
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.