StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New)

4.4 8478 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 11.5
+14.37%
Last month
$ 15.06
+19.7%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 80.76
-11.49%
In a quarter
$ 150
+64.4%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
79% - Forecast accuracy
60% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
11 offers on 5 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Skinport
Skinport
4 offers
from $ 91.5
Bitskins
Bitskins
1 offers
from $ 99
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
1 offers
from $ 99.39
Steam
Steam
4 offers
from $ 118
White.Market
White.Market
1 offers
from $ 159
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Faded Zebra inspecting M4A4 | Faded Zebra reloading M4A4 | Faded Zebra holding M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-1 M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-2 M4A4 | Faded Zebra pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 91.5
  • 24h price change: 14.37%
  • 7 days low: $ 80
  • 7 days high: $ 5 856
  • 7 days price change: 14.37%
  • 30 days low: $ 76.44
  • 30 days high: $ 5 899
  • 30 days price change: 19.7%
  • 90 days low: $ 72.15
  • 90 days high: $ 5 929
  • Year low: $ 59.8
  • Year high: $ 5 929
  • All time low: $ 59.8
  • All time high: $ 5 929
  • All time max offers: 17
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 1
  • Sales for last 7 days: 1
  • Sales for last 30 days: 7
  • Sales for last 90 days: 14
  • All time sales: 33
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 6, 2025
  • Risk: 2.2
  • Volatility: 8.35%
  • Liquidity: 10.68%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 80.76
  • Price forecast change in a month: -11.49%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 150
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 64.4%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 94.94
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 92.66
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 80.93
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 81.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 81.23
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 92.62
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 11.39
14.02%
Result
👍 Success
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 95.91
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 111
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 94.94
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 94.19
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 93.23
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 92.66
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 92.66
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 80.93
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 81.23
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 81.23
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 81.54
Action
🔥 Buy
September 1, 2025
Price
$ 92.62
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 11.39
14.02%
Result
👍 Success
September 9, 2025
Price
$ 95.91
Action
❌ Avoid
September 17, 2025
Price
$ 132
Action
❌ Avoid
September 25, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 111
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 110
Action
🔥 Buy
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 76.44
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 92.09
Action
🔥 Buy
October 29, 2025
Price
$ 90.99
Action
🔥 Buy
November 6, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 11.39
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 192
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
79%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
60%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) is a very reliable assault rifle favored by Counter-Terrorists for its precision, though it does slightly less damage than the AK-47. Sleek design with a carefully spray-painted zebra stripe pattern adds a touch of style to the weapon.

History

History

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra was first shown in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive on August 14th, 2013, with the release of the eSports 2013 Case on that date. This nice and cool skin immediately grew popular among players; having a really nice faded zebra pattern, this skin went into the wishlist of almost every player because of that and its StatTrak-a function which counts all kills made by this gun.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) was a rare skin that featured in the eSports 2013 Collection and could be found upon opening an eSports 2013 Case container. With its sleek design and its unique, fading zebra pattern, it quickly rose through the ranks to be considered one of the hottest weapons skins in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The Factory New version of the StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra is in high demand and rated 85% popular. This means that this skin is in the top 15% of the most wanted items in CS2. Such a rating is based on the daily sales volume and price stretches, reflecting the popularity of this particular skin among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) is one of the 255 other Rifle skins in CS2. This item is classified as Mil-Spec Grade and therefore has a relatively common rarity, making the drop chance estimated at 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

M4A4 | Faded Zebra is an extremely budgetary skin, priced at between $2.25 and $48.60, available on multiple markets for purchase. 100.7K units of the Faded Zebra are on sale in public CS2 inventories today, the item being highly traded.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Faded Zebra skin in CS2 features all possible exteriors, starting from 0.06 to 0.80 float value, which means there is definitely something players can get according to their taste. Moreover, for each exterior version of the skin, there is also a StatTrak version of the Faded Zebra available to be equipped, which makes killing even more stylish.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community attitude towards StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) in CS2 is good, and it received plenty of votes for an average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars on addskins.gg. Also, the fact that it is used by pro players like neo, n0thing, and xizt adds to its demand.

Finish style

Finish style

This makes the pattern index of this StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) skin highly influential in giving the skin a peculiar blend of gray tones, making it worn out and weathered. The stenciled patterns applied through multiple coats of spray paint add some depth and texture, which increases the realism of the finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Faded Zebra (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 80.76 (-11.49%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 150 (64.4%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.06
Max: 0.8
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players