StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New)

3.9 1585 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.74
+6%
Last month
$ 2.94
+29.02%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 12.08
-11.89%
In a quarter
$ 17.97
+31.07%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
230 offers on 11 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
18 offers
from $ 13.07
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
19 offers
from $ 13.52
White.Market
White.Market
35 offers
from $ 13.69
Skinport
Skinport
27 offers
from $ 13.75
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
11 offers
from $ 14.14
CS.DEALS
CS.DEALS
1 offers
from $ 14.25
Bitskins
Bitskins
10 offers
from $ 14.7
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
20 offers
from $ 14.87
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
26 offers
from $ 14.98
Steam
Steam
54 offers
from $ 17.36
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
9 offers
from $ 23.89
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Magnesium inspecting M4A4 | Magnesium reloading M4A4 | Magnesium holding M4A4 | Magnesium pose-1 M4A4 | Magnesium pose-2 M4A4 | Magnesium pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 13.07
  • 24h price change: 0.4612%
  • 7 days low: $ 12.33
  • 7 days high: $ 117
  • 7 days price change: 6%
  • 30 days low: $ 10.13
  • 30 days high: $ 118
  • 30 days price change: 29.02%
  • 90 days low: $ 10.05
  • 90 days high: $ 712
  • Year low: $ 6.88
  • Year high: $ 1 899
  • All time low: $ 6.88
  • All time high: $ 1 899
  • All time max offers: 269
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 10
  • Sales for last 7 days: 130
  • Sales for last 30 days: 499
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1164
  • All time sales: 3292
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.82
  • Volatility: 11.87%
  • Liquidity: 32.94%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 12.08
  • Price forecast change in a month: -11.89%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 17.97
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 31.07%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 10.21
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 13.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.05
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 10.21
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 10.04
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 10.14
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 10.23
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 10.28
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.09
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.18
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 11.65
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 12
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 11.83
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 12.96
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 13.43
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 13.05
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 13.05
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 13.7
Action
🔥 Buy
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 12.28
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 13.26
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 13.05
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
984 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
462 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
259 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.28
211%
From last month
447 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
387 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
18 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 040
165%
From last month
398 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.22
50%
From last month
4912 offers on 11 markets

Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) is an extremely accurate assault rifle favored by Counter-Terrorists. It boasts a higher degree of accuracy over the AK-47 but with slightly reduced damage. This one has a very sleek exterior with hand-painted flames and a winged defuser in white on a stylish dark grey base. This makes it alluring to players who accept fast-paced gameplay.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) first made an appearance in CS2 on December 6, 2018, in the Danger Zone Case as part of the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This very hip, groovy skin, done by an ingenious community designer named "EGO DEATH," did get pretty popular in the gaming world of CS2, and was sported factory-new finish with extra class towards any armament.

Origin

Origin

The M4A4 | Magnesium (StatTrak Factory New) is an extremely rare form of the M4A4 | Magnesium skin, which can only be obtained from the container of Danger Zone Case. This beauty is also part of the highly exclusive Danger Zone Collection, which further increases its appeal to collectors and players alike.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) is one of the most popular skins in CS2, with a popularity rating of 90%. Such extreme popularity is due to its volume of sales per day and the price of the skin, making it one of the most wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) has a total of 255 rifle skins in CS2, featuring a Mil-Spec Grade rarity, thus making it quite common with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%, hence pretty easy to get for players.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) skin is generally pretty cheap, ranging within the price bracket of $0.04-$5.07. Furthermore, it is highly accessible because one can find it on pretty much any market. Currently, there are around 3.6 million units of this skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) is one of the most popular CS2 skins, which has a float value of 0.00-1.00, meaning that it will be available in all of its exterior versions. Moreover, for each exterior, there is an appropriate StatTrak version, which is highly sought after by collectors and enthusiasts.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The general mood of the community on StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) for CS2 is positive, with an average rating of 3.9 out of 5 stars based on more than 1.5K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, it finds its place in the inventory of professional CS2 players, namely fallen, fnx, and aizy.

Finish style

Finish style

This M4A4 | Magnesium skin from StatTrak in CS2 is painted in the "Gunsmith" style, with the underlying material being Magnesium finish mixed with patina and custom paint. The gray color in most of the pattern indexes is retained so that, whatever design variation occurs, the Magnesium finish itself is unchanged.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 12.08 (-11.89%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 17.97 (31.07%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players