StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear)

3.9 1674 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.57
+24.36%
Last month
$ 1.24
+74.25%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 2.41
-14.84%
In a quarter
$ 3.43
+21.2%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
65% - Forecast accuracy
20% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
499 offers on 10 markets
Updated4 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear)
Gallery
M4A4 | Magnesium inspecting M4A4 | Magnesium reloading M4A4 | Magnesium holding M4A4 | Magnesium pose-1 M4A4 | Magnesium pose-2 M4A4 | Magnesium pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.91
  • 24h price change: 2.83%
  • 7 days low: $ 2.34
  • 7 days high: $ 4 935
  • 7 days price change: 24.36%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.67
  • 30 days high: $ 4 935
  • 30 days price change: 74.25%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.67
  • 90 days high: $ 4 935
  • Year low: $ 1.67
  • Year high: $ 4 935
  • All time low: $ 1.67
  • All time high: $ 4 935
  • All time max offers: 1319
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 95
  • Sales for last 7 days: 729
  • Sales for last 30 days: 2916
  • Sales for last 90 days: 6567
  • All time sales: 19923
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.62
  • Volatility: 7.92%
  • Liquidity: 34.66%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 2.41
  • Price forecast change in a month: -14.84%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 3.43
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 21.2%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 2.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.12
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.19
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.22
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.6
Action
❌ Avoid
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.6
Action
✋ Hold
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.67
Action
❌ Avoid
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 2.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.59
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.83
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.24
9.27%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price
$ 2.22
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.09
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.12
Action
✋ Hold
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.13
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.19
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 2.22
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.23
Action
✋ Hold
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.46
Action
✋ Hold
September 3, 2025
Price
$ 2.6
Action
❌ Avoid
September 11, 2025
Price
$ 2.6
Action
✋ Hold
September 19, 2025
Price
$ 2.72
Action
✋ Hold
September 27, 2025
Price
$ 2.67
Action
❌ Avoid
October 5, 2025
Price
$ 2.71
Action
❌ Avoid
October 13, 2025
Price
$ 2.73
Action
❌ Avoid
October 21, 2025
Price
$ 2.59
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 2.59
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 2.83
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 0.24
9.27%
Result
👍 Success
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0.24
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 2.59
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
65%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
20%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium allows for aggressive play and the most stylish of moves when it comes to killing or playing aggressively. The minor wear condition shows a dancing flame design across the skin, while the white-winged defuser is also elegant against the dark grey backdrop.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium skin was added in CS2 on December 6th, 2018, along with the "Welcome to the Danger Zone" update. This is a community-submitted design by "EGO DEATH" and one that quickly became one of the most wanted due to a sleek design combined with the popular StatTrak technology tracking kills made by the gun.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) is a very rare skin in CS2. It obtains its drop from the container opening of a Danger Zone Case. This skin belongs to the exclusive skins included in The Danger Zone Collection and adds a touch of uniqueness and style to the weapon.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) has very high demand due to its 90% popularity rating in the CS2 community. This skin is one of the most popular in-game due to its very high sales volume and its market value.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) There are 255 other skin existing in-game for obtaining the rifle in CS2. This skin has Mil-Spec Grade Rarity and has a relatively high drop chance, ranking around 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 skin StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) is pretty affordable, adding only from $0.04 up to $5.07, which puts it within an average gamer's budget. Besides, it is highly liquid since it is available on various markets. As of now, there are about 3.6 million units of the Magnesium skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

This highly wanted CS2 skin, StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium, has a float value between 0.00 and 1.00 to make it available in every exterior. Moreover, in each exterior, there is also a StatTrak variant for the Magnesium to make it even more wanted and to track kills.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment regarding the StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium skin in CS2 is very positive, as can be depicted by its average rating of 3.9 out of 5 stars, with over 1.5K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, it finds additional popularity among people since professional players like fallen, fnx, and aizy own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) features a "Gunsmith" style, which is an exquisite combination of patina with custom paint work. Dominated by hues of gray in this skin, it provides a real sleek and refined look; the pattern indexes do not change the overall Magnesium finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) is expected fall down to $ 2.41 (-14.84%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 3.43 (21.2%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.11
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players