StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)

4.9 6118 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 26
+19.12%
Last month
$ 37
+29.6%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 128
-22.24%
In a quarter
$ 207
+25.75%
Action
Decision:
🎯 Buy
Confidence:
🤔 Medium
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
115 offers on 10 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Neo-Noir inspecting M4A4 | Neo-Noir reloading M4A4 | Neo-Noir holding M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-1 M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-2 M4A4 | Neo-Noir pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 162
  • 24h price change: 1.25%
  • 7 days low: $ 136
  • 7 days high: $ 703
  • 7 days price change: 19.12%
  • 30 days low: $ 125
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 29.6%
  • 90 days low: $ 110
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 79.62
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 79.62
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 155
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 3
  • Sales for last 7 days: 20
  • Sales for last 30 days: 89
  • Sales for last 90 days: 233
  • All time sales: 634
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 0.52
  • Volatility: 16.98%
  • Liquidity: 25.91%
  • Decision: 🎯 Speculative Buy
  • Confidence: 🤔 Medium

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 128
  • Price forecast change in a month: -22.24%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 207
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 25.75%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 122
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 123
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 148
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 148
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 114
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 111
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 122
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 123
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 127
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 141
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 142
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 133
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 158
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 161
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 148
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 148
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 137
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 153
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 148
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
1
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) is a sure choice for Counter-Terrorists, offering better accuracy in exchange for some damage compared to the AK-47. Sleek in appearance, it showcases a custom paint job, depicting a captivating blue-magenta woman amidst a grayscale backdrop, symbolizing her escape into a crumbling dystopian world, clutching onto whatever she can find.

History

History

The M4A4 | Neo-Noir entered the world of CS2 on February 14th, 2018, when it was added along with the Clutch Case, accompanying the exciting "Welcome to the Clutch" update. This gorgeous skin was designed by the talented community designer known as "donschi," who brought the Neo-Noir's unique and intricate design into being.

Origin

Origin

The Neo-Noir StatTrak M4A4 is one of the most popular skins of CS2. In Factory New condition, a player can get it by opening the Clutch Case container-for purchase or in-game earned. This beautiful skin has also been included in a collection of stylish weapon finishes called The Clutch Collection, which players can add to their arsenal and then showcase.

Popularity

Popularity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) enjoys immense popularity in the CS2 community, boasting a staggering 99% popularity rating. Its widespread appeal can be attributed to its high demand, evident through its daily sales volume and the premium price it commands in the market.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) in CS2 is an extremely coveted skin among collectors and players alike. With only 255 other rifle skins, the Neo-Noir stands out as a true gem. Its Covert rarity further adds to its exclusivity, making it an exceptionally rare drop with an estimated chance of only 0.64%.

Availability

Availability

The Neo-Noir Skin for M4A4 | StatTrak in Factory New condition has a pretty reasonable purchase price, ranging from $2.73 to $85.05, thus fitting well within the budget of most gamers. Presently, it is available on almost all markets, and thus, one can buy the Neo-Noir Skin pretty easily. Additionally, it has already entered 601.8K units of Neo-Noir Skin into public CS2 inventories-a sure sign of its renown among gamers.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir is available in CS2, with all available exterior ranging from 0.00 to 0.90 float value, meaning many pristine varieties for collectors of this kind. Each Neo-Noir also has a corresponding exterior variant StatTrak to let gamers track their kills in fashion.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) of CS2 is excellent, with a very high number of votes on addskins.gg, which resulted in an astonishing average rating of 4.9 out of 5 stars. Furthermore, it is boosted by its popular usage from professional CS2 players like flusha, fallen, and snax, adding to its popularity in the community.

Finish style

Finish style

Neo-Noir skin for StatTrak M4A4 in CS2 comes in a "Custom Paint Job" style, which is basically creating different designs and personalized with a wide array of colors. This particular Neo-Noir skin has this stunning purple and pink combination that turns it into one of the most beautiful and unique skins. Whatever the pattern index may be, Neo-Noir skin remains the same and looks great.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 128 (-22.24%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 207 (25.75%). Confidence is medium — it is advised to speculative buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Wear range

0.03
Max: 0.9
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Item Class

Pro Players