StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New)

4.7 1320 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.15
+7.58%
Last month
$ 0.37
+21.02%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 1.42
-33.64%
In a quarter
$ 2.74
+28.04%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
17% - Forecast accuracy
17% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
288 offers on 9 markets
Updated1 minute ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
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Steam
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Skinport
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Poly Mag inspecting M4A4 | Poly Mag reloading M4A4 | Poly Mag holding M4A4 | Poly Mag pose-1 M4A4 | Poly Mag pose-2 M4A4 | Poly Mag pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 2.13
  • 7 days low: $ 1.98
  • 7 days high: $ 127
  • 7 days price change: 7.58%
  • 30 days low: $ 1.76
  • 30 days high: $ 128
  • 30 days price change: 21.02%
  • 90 days low: $ 1.27
  • 90 days high: $ 128
  • Year low: $ 1.14
  • Year high: $ 303
  • All time low: $ 1.14
  • All time high: $ 303
  • All time max offers: 516
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 39
  • Sales for last 7 days: 335
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1356
  • Sales for last 90 days: 3769
  • All time sales: 11240
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 3, 2025
  • Risk: 0.56
  • Volatility: 9.08%
  • Liquidity: 35.02%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 1.42
  • Price forecast change in a month: -33.64%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 2.74
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 28.04%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 1.45
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.34
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.37
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
✋ Hold
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 1.39
Action
✋ Hold
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 1.38
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 1.45
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 1.32
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.34
Action
✋ Hold
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 1.37
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 1.65
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 1.92
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 2.07
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 1.94
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 1.78
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 1.76
Action
❌ Avoid
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 2.4
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 2.08
Action
❌ Avoid
October 26, 2025
Price
$ 2.14
Action
❌ Avoid
November 3, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
17%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
17%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
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M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) This Counter-Terrorist favorite's high accuracy over the AK-47 makes it well worth its moderate damage. Truly unique, the custom-designed prototype has a see-through polymer magazine and a tan-colored stock, hand guard, and grip, making it very stylish and reliable in any standard operation.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag appeared for the first time in CS2 on July 1st, 2022, when it was released as part of the Recoil Case. This skin, designed by the talented community designer "emu," became highly popular among players because of its futuristic look combined with Factory New condition and prestigious StatTrak feature.

Origin

Origin

The Factory New condition for the StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag in CS2 is just a rare skin that one desires to own. By opening only one container from the Recoil Case, which consists of various weapons that belong to The Recoil Collection, this skin would be able to make one proud.

Popularity

Popularity

Results from an excellent 90% popularity keep StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag Factory New in the CS2 community at the position of the most wanted skin for now. With everything from incredible sales volume to flying price, this skin makes much sense as one of the very wanted items in the game.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag(Factory New) is one of 255 other rifle skins existing in CS2. Its rarity is Mil-Spec Grade, which means it's a rather common drop with an estimated drop chance of 79.92%.

Availability

Availability

The price of the skin StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) is rather modest and ranges from $0.03 to $2.52. It can be easily found on any market available in stores, which makes buying this skin pretty easy. Moreover, there is already a huge supply of 1.1 million units of Poly Mag, which currently sit in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag Factory New is available across all the CS2 exteriors, from the float value 0.00 and ranging to 1.00, hence available altogether. What's more, a StatTrak version offers every variant of Poly-Mag for a killer experience in your gameplay.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment of the StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag in CS2 is very positive, having an average rating of 4.7 out of 5 stars, based on over 1.2K votes on addskins.gg. It only adds to the greatness and popularity of this skin that the professional players flusha and snax own this skin.

Finish style

Finish style

The skin of StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) in CS2 belongs to the "Custom Paint Job" style and features a very recognizable Poly Mag finish that can be colored in any way using a wide variety of colors. The dominant color of this skin is rich brown; the pattern indexes do not change the look and feel of the Poly Mag finish.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Poly Mag (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 1.42 (-33.64%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 2.74 (28.04%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players