StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)

4.4 1708 reviews
facebook}
twitter
Latest price change
Last week
$ 1.47
+15.17%
Last month
$ 4.46
+66.57%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 7.07
-36.65%
In a quarter
$ 9.08
-18.64%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
40% - Forecast accuracy
40% - Forecast trend accuracy
0% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
322 offers on 9 markets
Updated0 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
Lis-skins
83 offers
from $ 11.16
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
44 offers
from $ 12.18
Skinport
Skinport
10 offers
from $ 12.34
White.Market
White.Market
40 offers
from $ 12.71
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
58 offers
from $ 13.1
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
34 offers
from $ 13.77
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
34 offers
from $ 14.26
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 14.95
Steam
Steam
17 offers
from $ 16.5
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred)
Gallery
M4A4 | Spider Lily inspecting M4A4 | Spider Lily reloading M4A4 | Spider Lily holding M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-1 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-2 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 11.16
  • 7 days low: $ 9.69
  • 7 days high: $ 47.4
  • 7 days price change: 15.17%
  • 30 days low: $ 6.7
  • 30 days high: $ 47.4
  • 30 days price change: 66.57%
  • 90 days low: $ 6.42
  • 90 days high: $ 47.4
  • Year low: $ 4.26
  • Year high: $ 1 436
  • All time low: $ 4.26
  • All time high: $ 1 436
  • All time max offers: 1119
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 14
  • Sales for last 7 days: 168
  • Sales for last 30 days: 630
  • Sales for last 90 days: 1593
  • All time sales: 4368
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: -0.51
  • Volatility: 11.45%
  • Liquidity: 25.22%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 7.07
  • Price forecast change in a month: -36.65%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 9.08
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: -18.64%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.18
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.5
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.87
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 7.02
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 9.04
Action
📉 Sell
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 7.71
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 8.09
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.17
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 7.18
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 6.79
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 6.01
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 6.5
Action
✋ Hold
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 6.7
Action
✋ Hold
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 6.87
Action
📉 Sell
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 6.84
Action
📉 Sell
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 7.02
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 8.09
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 9.04
Action
📉 Sell
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 7.71
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 7.77
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 8.09
Action
✋ Hold
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 8.17
Action
❌ Avoid
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 8.06
Action
❌ Avoid
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 10.03
Action
❌ Avoid
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 0
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 0
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
0
Sell count
0
Success count
0
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
40%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
40%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
0%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
$ 82.8
42%
From last month
980 offers on 10 markets
$ 288
182%
From last month
459 offers on 10 markets
$ 103
52%
From last month
9 offers on 7 markets
$ 500
100%
From last month
252 offers on 10 markets
$ 73.3
212%
From last month
449 offers on 10 markets
$ 120
220%
From last month
374 offers on 10 markets
4.1 7669
In a quarter -40%
M4A4 | Bullet Rain
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Bullet Rain
Well-Worn
$ 74.31
188%
From last month
18 offers on 7 markets
$ 1 040
165%
From last month
400 offers on 10 markets
4.5 2303
In half a year -68%
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Covert
Normal
M4A4
Buzz Kill
Well-Worn
$ 1.2
50%
From last month
4928 offers on 11 markets

Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) is sure to be a favorite for Counter-Terrorists that place a premium on accuracy rather than pure firepower. This skin has a custom dark blue base with striking red spider lilies adorning the magazine and trigger. The colors used are an omen to the adversaries-a warning of the danger to come.

History

History

The M4A4 | Spider Lily appeared before the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, as part of the Operation Riptide Case, which was included in the "Operation Riptide" update. This masterpiece by community designer Strenson immediately turned the attention of users with a fine spider lily pattern and an interesting feature of StatTrak, which made this skin one of the most desired among collectors and players alike.

Origin

Origin

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) was presented to the CS2 community together with Operation Riptide Case-a container that opens to reveal weapon skins. This skin belongs to the Operation Riptide Collection, which includes various skins, each unique and with its theme.

Popularity

Popularity

The Battle-Scarred version of StatTrak M4A4 Spider Lily is considered to be highly sought after because of its popularity rating of 95%. This is pretty popular because it sells rather often and for relatively high values, hence making it one of the most sought-after items in the CS2 community.

Rarity

Rarity

Among the 255 rifle skins that exist in CS2, The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily stands tall, holding a Restricted rarity class, and has an official drop chance of 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) skin is pretty affordable, which costs in a range from $0.96 to $39.64. Besides, this skin is highly accessible because it is available in many markets, so it is pretty easy to be purchased by a player. Indeed, now there are 684K units of the Spider Lily skin existing in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The CS2 StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) has all types of exterior skins, and its float value ranges from 0.00 to 1.00. Additionally, each of these exteriors has a StatTrak variant, enabling players to track their kills with this unique skin.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

The community sentiment towards the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) in CS2 is pretty positive, as noted with its high average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars based on over 1.6K votes on addskins.gg. Moreover, it is owned by professional player s1mple, which further amplifies its popularity and perceived value in the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) has a "Gunsmith" style, combining patina with custom paint applications. A very bright red and blue coloring gives life to the Spider Lily finish, while pattern indexes are inoffensive and don't detract from the boldness of this skin.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Battle-Scarred) is expected fall down to $ 7.07 (-36.65%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will drop to $ 9.08 (-18.64%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.72
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players