StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)

4.4 1674 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 11.16
+13.31%
Last month
$ 13.83
+17.04%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 85.87
-4.15%
In a quarter
$ 164
+83.06%
Action
Decision:
🔥 Buy
Confidence:
👍 High
77% - Forecast accuracy
50% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
110 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
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Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New)
Gallery
M4A4 | Spider Lily inspecting M4A4 | Spider Lily reloading M4A4 | Spider Lily holding M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-1 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-2 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 95.01
  • 24h price change: 6.05%
  • 7 days low: $ 83.85
  • 7 days high: $ 1 098
  • 7 days price change: 13.31%
  • 30 days low: $ 81.18
  • 30 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • 30 days price change: 17.04%
  • 90 days low: $ 73.27
  • 90 days high: $ 1 504 406
  • Year low: $ 45.31
  • Year high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time low: $ 45.31
  • All time high: $ 1 504 406
  • All time max offers: 154
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 4
  • Sales for last 7 days: 34
  • Sales for last 30 days: 123
  • Sales for last 90 days: 269
  • All time sales: 765
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 7, 2025
  • Risk: 1.3
  • Volatility: 21.23%
  • Liquidity: 24.94%
  • Decision: 🔥 Buy
  • Confidence: 👍 High

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 85.87
  • Price forecast change in a month: -4.15%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 164
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 83.06%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 62.58
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 93.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 93.24
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 23.19
24.87%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 106
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 106
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 62.58
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 66.53
Action
❌ Avoid
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 64.27
Action
❌ Avoid
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 74.16
Action
❌ Avoid
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 74.16
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 79.27
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 77.08
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 86.5
Action
❌ Avoid
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 102
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 104
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 93.24
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 93.24
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 101
Action
🔥 Buy
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 116
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 23.19
24.87%
Result
👍 Success
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 106
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 106
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 84.38
Action
🔥 Buy
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 85.56
Action
🔥 Buy
November 7, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 23.19
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 199
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
1
Success count
1
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
77%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
50%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
Related
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In a quarter -40%
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M4A4 | Buzz Kill
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Description

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily(Factory New) is very dangerous for Counter-Terrorists because they provide an increase in accuracy without losing firepower. The deep blue foundation of its sleek design is complemented by the red spider lilies adorning the magazine and trigger, serving as a very bold and visual reminder to adversaries where the danger is.

History

History

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) was presented to the CS2 community on September 21st, 2021, with the Operation Riptide Case for the "Operation Riptide" update. The skin, designed by the talented community artist Strenson, quickly became a sought-after item due to its intricate spider lily motif and the added allure of the StatTrak feature, which tracks the number of kills made with the weapon.

Origin

Origin

The highly sought-after skin StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily opens one of the containers: an Operation Riptide Case, which contains various exclusive in-game weapon finishes. This skin belongs to the Operation Riptide Collection, a limited edition of various weapon skins released for the event of the same name in CS2.

Popularity

Popularity

The Factory New StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily enjoys extremely high demand, as indicated by the popularity rating, which is 95%. The reasons for such high popularity are high volume on a daily basis and decent prices for the skin; that is why this item stands in great demand within the CS2 community.

Rarity

Rarity

M4A4 | Spider Lily belongs to the pool of 255 rifle skins in CS2. The skin is Rare since it holds a Restricted rarity and an estimated drop chance of 15.98% of the skin dropping.

Availability

Availability

The Spider Lily - M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) is one of the most demanded CS2 skins. Price to this skin can be in a range from $0.96 to $39.64 which is pretty cheap. Thankfully, this skin is available right now and can be bought on many markets. As of today, there are 684K units of it in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float range for the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) of CS2 is from 0.00 to 1.00, therefore this skin has a plenty of possible exterior looks that it can pull. All of the aforementioned exterior variations also have a StatTrak variant, meaning gamers can choose to track their kills in style.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

StatTrak M4A4 Spider Lily has very positive community sentiments. So, on addskins.gg, this skin is rated with 4.4 out of 5 stars in more than 1.6K votes. Also, currently, this skin is in the inventory of a pro CS2 player s1mple, which also adds to its desirability and popularity among the community.

Finish style

Finish style

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) for CS2 is a "Gunsmith" style finish that brings together patina and custom paint techniques. The skin has an awesome color scheme of red and blue while pattern indexes do not affect the design of this striking Spider Lily.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Factory New) is expected fall down to $ 85.87 (-4.15%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 164 (83.06%). Confidence is high — it is advised to buy.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.03
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

Pro Players