StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested)

4.4 1700 reviews
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Latest price change
Last week
$ 0.31
+2.5%
Last month
$ 5.11
+67.33%
Price forecast
Check full price forecast
In a month
$ 10.5
-23.75%
In a quarter
$ 14.31
+3.92%
Action
Decision:
❌ Avoid
Confidence:
👎 Low
72% - Forecast accuracy
34% - Forecast trend accuracy
100% - Successes/failures
Check full forecast statistics
169 offers on 10 markets
Updated3 minutes ago
Marketplace
Market rating
Active offers
Price
Lis-skins
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39 offers
from $ 12.7
CSGO.COM
CSGO.COM
25 offers
from $ 14.5
Avan.Market
Avan.Market
2 offers
from $ 14.98
Bitskins
Bitskins
2 offers
from $ 15.25
White.Market
White.Market
26 offers
from $ 15.62
ShadowPay
ShadowPay
20 offers
from $ 16.38
Skinport
Skinport
13 offers
from $ 17.56
Steam
Steam
36 offers
from $ 17.82
Waxpeer
Waxpeer
4 offers
from $ 18.43
CSGOEmpire
CSGOEmpire
2 offers
from $ 27.94
Inspect skin
StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested)
Gallery
M4A4 | Spider Lily inspecting M4A4 | Spider Lily reloading M4A4 | Spider Lily holding M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-1 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-2 M4A4 | Spider Lily pose-3
Price history
Price statistics
  • Today minimal price: $ 12.7
  • 24h price change: 1.2%
  • 7 days low: $ 12.39
  • 7 days high: $ 103
  • 7 days price change: 2.5%
  • 30 days low: $ 7.59
  • 30 days high: $ 104
  • 30 days price change: 67.33%
  • 90 days low: $ 7.59
  • 90 days high: $ 104
  • Year low: $ 6.86
  • Year high: $ 2 000
  • All time low: $ 6.86
  • All time high: $ 2 000
  • All time max offers: 352
  • Sales for last 24 hours: 45
  • Sales for last 7 days: 289
  • Sales for last 30 days: 1100
  • Sales for last 90 days: 2267
  • All time sales: 6251
Price forecast
Price forecast full data
  • Forecast date: Nov. 1, 2025
  • Risk: 0.4048
  • Volatility: 10.8%
  • Liquidity: 24.1%
  • Decision: ❌ Avoid
  • Confidence: 👎 Low

The information on the site is not a financial recommendation. It is only an analytical tool.

  • Price forecast in a month: $ 10.5
  • Price forecast change in a month: -23.75%
  • Price forecast in a quarter: $ 14.31
  • Price forecast change in a quarter: 3.92%
How do we calculate the price forecast?

The price forecast of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) are created by our ML engineers in collaboration with the Data Science and Business Analytics teams using machine learning models trained on historical price, sales, and market data for each skin. The models incorporate features such as rarity, popularity, category, skin type, weapon, exterior, price history and more. Multiple time horizons are forecasted using a combination of pretrained and custom models, with parameters including price volatility, liquidity, and recent transaction volumes. All projections are based on historical trends and statistical patterns, and actual results may differ due to market uncertainties and unforeseen events.

Price forecast timeline
Price
$ 7.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.07
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 8.65
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.61
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 10.61
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 10.34
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.34
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.39
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.05
10.15%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.74
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.74
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 12.72
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.98
18.44%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price
$ 7.42
Action
❌ Avoid
July 3, 2025
Price
$ 8.07
Action
📉 Sell
July 11, 2025
Price
$ 8.49
Action
📉 Sell
July 19, 2025
Price
$ 8.5
Action
📉 Sell
July 27, 2025
Price
$ 8.65
Action
❌ Avoid
August 4, 2025
Price
$ 9.18
Action
❌ Avoid
August 12, 2025
Price
$ 9.79
Action
❌ Avoid
August 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.61
Action
✋ Hold
September 2, 2025
Price
$ 10.61
Action
❌ Avoid
September 10, 2025
Price
$ 10.38
Action
❌ Avoid
September 18, 2025
Price
$ 10.89
Action
❌ Avoid
September 26, 2025
Price
$ 11.15
Action
❌ Avoid
October 4, 2025
Price
$ 10.34
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.34
October 12, 2025
Price
$ 11.39
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.05
10.15%
Result
👍 Success
October 20, 2025
Price
$ 10.74
Action
🔥 Buy
Invested
$ 10.74
October 30, 2025
Price
$ 12.72
Action
📉 Sell
Earned
$ 1.98
18.44%
Result
👍 Success
November 1, 2025
Price forecasts statistics
Earned**
$ 3.03
$ 19.85 - avg*
Invested***
$ 21.08
$ 211 - avg*
Forecasts count
16
Buy count
2
Sell count
2
Success count
2
Fail count
0

*avg | Sitewide average across all skins

**Earned, ***Invested | Emulates buy and sell recommendations from addskins.gg

****Success/fail accuracy | Success — buy then sell at a profit, failure — buy then sell at a loss

How do we calculate forecast statistics?

Each skin’s forecast is updated approximately once a week and saved. For this skin, 16 forecasts have been generated in total. Each forecast stores key data such as predicted prices, probability of success, and recommended actions (buy, sell, or hold). Later, when real price data becomes available over time, the forecast is evaluated: the actual price movement is compared with the prediction, and the recommended actions are simulated using the real price. As a result, you can see how many buy and sell actions would have occurred, how many trades would have resulted in profit or loss, the total amount invested, and the final profit. Based on these results, the forecast accuracy for this specific skin is calculated and compared to the average accuracy of all forecasts across the site.

Price forecasts accuracy
Forecast accuracy
72%
60% - avg*
Forecast trend accuracy
34%
46% - avg*
Success/fail accuracy****
100%
79% - avg*
Damage map
2417
4129
3323
13091
Damage map
Characteristics
  • Team: Citizens
  • Magazine capacity: 30/90
  • Damage: 33
  • Spread: 0.6
  • Rate of fire: 667
  • Movement speed: 225
  • Kill reward: $ 300
Damage spread on distance
No armor
Kevlar & Helmet
1 m
100 m
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In a quarter -40%
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Description

The M4A4 | Spider Lily, Field-Tested from StatTrak, enjoys accuracy and a stable rate of fire, hence a trustworthy pick among the Counter-Terrorists. This custom paint job was made on a dark blue base with catching red spider lilies adorning the magazine and the trigger as an omen for the enemies - warning them, not inviting them.

History

History

Exactly one year ago, on September 21st, 2021, the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily appeared for the first time in CS2 as part of Operation Riptide Case. The attractive skin was designed by one of the creative community designers known as Strenson. He did a great job with the skin, showing his skill and making the game more beautiful.

Origin

Origin

The Spider Lily StatTrak M4A4 is a rare skin, able to be pulled only by opening the container of Operation Riptide Case, which is available only in the CS2 event of Operation Riptide. This skin adds a touch of elegance and danger to any player's arsenal and is one of the prized items from the Operation Riptide Collection.

Popularity

Popularity

The Spider Lily (Field-Tested) StatTrak M4A4 Skin is one of the most coveted skins in CS: GO, with a popularity rating at 95%. This desirability is evident in both its high daily sales and relatively high price, thus classifying it as one of the most sought-after items among players.

Rarity

Rarity

The StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily Field-Tested is a CS2 skin, and it belongs to 255 different rifle skins from this game. This skin falls into the Restricted rarity category and is pretty rare, given the estimated drop chance is 15.98%.

Availability

Availability

The CS2 StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) skin is one of those cheap skins, which is priced to fit into most players' budgets and ranges from $0.96 to $39.64. This is easily available because markets are stocked with it, so finding this skin to buy won't be a problem. Presently, there are 684K units of the Spider Lily skin in public CS2 inventories.

Versions

Versions

The float value for the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) ranges from 0.00 to 1.00, making this skin available to players in all conditions. Furthermore, a StatTrak variant of each Spider Lily exterior is also available; collectors can enjoy tracking their kills with precision with this option available.

Community sentiment

Community sentiment

Community sentiment regarding the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) in CS2 is generally high, as can be guessed by the skin's high average rating of 4.4 out of 5 stars, with over 1.6K votes on addskins.gg. That it is also owned by professional CS2 player s1mple further makes it desirable and popular among players.

Finish style

Finish style

This Field-Tested CS2 StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily skin has a "Gunsmith" style with a unique Spider Lily finish, enticingly combining patina with custom paint styles. Bright coloration of red and blue makes it really pop, but pattern indexes don't change the hypnotic Spider Lily design.

Price forecast

Price forecast

According to the forecast, the price of the StatTrak M4A4 | Spider Lily (Field-Tested) is expected fall down to $ 10.5 (-23.75%) in a month. After that, in the next quarter it will rise to $ 14.31 (3.92%). Confidence is low — it is advised to avoid.

Characteristics

Summary

Color

Wear range

0.26
Max: 1.0
Factory new
Minimal wear
Field-tested
Well-worn
Battle-scared

Each skin has a minimum and maximum wear value, that's what we call a wear range. The line shows the available wear range for this skin.

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